TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103193
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Varcl Jnr
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811117411––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Varcl Jnr above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1510 vs Prokupek 1517
Prokupek
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 40% vs Prokupek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 40% vs Prokupek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr +1 · Prokupek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.20 / Prokupek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Prokupek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103193
Jnr2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 18 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Prokupek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 116 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it88% 67 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it72% 88 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 238 vs 648 / 136251.3%47.6%122 / 238 vs 648 / 1362Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekJnr 2.20/Prokupek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Prokupek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
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J. Prokupek10
LSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123WSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182LSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752WSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122WSep 7 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.911111163J. Dedek1.8085140WSep 7 · 22:00V. Postelt1.83791371J. Prokupek1.83111111113LSep 7 · 09:29J. Svoboda1.40111111123J. Prokupek2.750138101
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