TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103192
Played Sep 10Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118811311––
Lukas Krok
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 72 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Lukas Krok at 63.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 24–32 Lukas Krok Yurii Holovatiuk has won 24 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-32 in 56
Krok
Correct
gap of 8 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1459 vs Krok 1531
Krok
Correct
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 20% vs Krok 80%
Krok
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 30% vs Krok 70%
Krok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk -2 · Krok +3
Krok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Krok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 2.50 / Krok 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Krok)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103192
Holovatiuk2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 64
Krok1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk0wins
AwayKrok10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrok leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiukn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrok100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk2Krok8n = 10Krok took 8 of 10
S2Holovatiuk2Krok8n = 10Krok took 8 of 10
S3Holovatiuk3Krok7n = 10Krok took 7 of 10
S4Holovatiuk2Krok4n = 6Krok took 4 of 6
S5Holovatiuk0Krok3n = 3Krok took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukKrokH − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.041.6−8.6per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 677 vs 174 / 37349.8%46.7%337 / 677 vs 174 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokHolovatiuk 2.50/Krok 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Krok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk—5570L. Krok—1111113
LSep 5 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk—12460L. Krok—1411113
LMay 27 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk—118101182L. Krok—911129113
LMay 25 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—881161L. Krok—11116113
LMay 17 · 19:30Y. Holovatiuk—11116672L. Krok—651111113
LMay 14 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk—7990L. Krok—1111113
LApr 22 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk—7880L. Krok—1111113
LApr 13 · 21:14Y. Holovatiuk—9612121L. Krok—111110143
LApr 13 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—61171592L. Krok—1191113113
LMar 31 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—1071341L. Krok—121111113
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113LSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113LSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113LSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113LSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250WSep 8 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113J. Trefny1.614320WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161
L. Krok10
WSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123LSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113LSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113WAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:00L. Krok2.25116741T. Kolenic1.5781111113
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