TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110483
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101212101012311––
Tomas Janata
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:13 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 80 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Tomas Janata at 64.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 19–52 Tomas Janata Jiri Plachy has won 19 of their 71 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-52 in 71
Janata
Correct
gap of 33 in 71, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1452 vs Janata 1503
Janata
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 0% vs Janata 20%
Janata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 40% vs Janata 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -5 · Janata -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 2.50 / Janata 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Janata)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110483
Plachy2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 174 of 417
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 231
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 124
Janata1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 110 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy2wins
AwayJanata8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy25%1 of 4
AwayJanata83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S2Plachy3Janata7n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S3Plachy4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S4Plachy2Janata7n = 9Janata took 7 of 9
S5Plachy2Janata2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyJanataP − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.142.9−5.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime741 / 1602 vs 428 / 82046.3%52.2%741 / 1602 vs 428 / 820Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataPlachy 2.50/Janata 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LFeb 1 · 01:00J. Plachy—1371031T. Janata—111112113
LJan 30 · 19:30J. Plachy—122881T. Janata—101111113
WJan 30 · 18:30J. Plachy—611411113T. Janata—11811942
LJan 30 · 15:30J. Plachy—6116121T. Janata—11511143
LJan 28 · 01:00J. Plachy—1181541T. Janata—61117113
LDec 9 · 24:00J. Plachy—105111182T. Janata—121128113
LNov 9 · 23:30J. Plachy—851161T. Janata—11117113
LNov 2 · 20:00J. Plachy—61111932T. Janata—117611113
LOct 31 · 15:30J. Plachy—101170T. Janata—1213113
WOct 29 · 20:30J. Plachy—12811993T. Janata—101191152
J. Plachy10
LSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981LSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111LSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123LSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8312212113J. Plachy1.8310111051WSep 8 · 17:30J. Plachy2.101111113J. Trefny1.678750LSep 8 · 16:30J. Trefny1.5391111113J. Plachy2.38117681WSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250WSep 8 · 14:30T. Dousa1.9141181182J. Plachy1.80113118113WSep 7 · 13:30J. Plachy1.9111118113J. Trefny1.80891151
T. Janata10
WSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122LSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Janata1.536111161L. Krticka2.3811713113LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113LSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:00T. Janata1.44111194113L. Krticka2.6398111182LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102
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