TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110159
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511711411––––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 49 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Janata at 55.8%
49 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 32–55 Jaroslav Prokupek Tomas Janata has won 32 of their 87 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Janata
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-55 in 87
Prokupek
Correct
gap of 23 in 87, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1528 vs Prokupek 1515
Janata
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 20% vs Prokupek 40%
Prokupek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 30% vs Prokupek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata -3 · Prokupek -1
Janata
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.57 / Prokupek 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Janata)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110159
Janata1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 110 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Prokupek2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 107 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata8wins
AwayProkupek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata87.5%7 of 8
AwayProkupekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata8Prokupek2n = 10Janata took 8 of 10
S2Janata6Prokupek4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Janata7Prokupek3n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S4Janata2Prokupek1n = 3Janata took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataProkupekJ − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.126.6+8.5per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 819 vs 650 / 136652.3%47.6%428 / 819 vs 650 / 1366Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.57/Prokupek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 12 · 02:30T. Janata—1111113J. Prokupek—5550
WApr 10 · 21:29T. Janata—1211123J. Prokupek—104100
WApr 10 · 20:00T. Janata—1111113J. Prokupek—7460
LApr 6 · 18:00T. Janata—139881J. Prokupek—111111113
WFeb 1 · 20:30T. Janata—6101113113J. Prokupek—111281172
WFeb 1 · 02:30T. Janata—1111113J. Prokupek—2430
WJan 30 · 20:00T. Janata—1111113J. Prokupek—5650
WJan 25 · 02:00T. Janata—1111113J. Prokupek—7570
WDec 23 · 15:00T. Janata—116411113J. Prokupek—61111922
LDec 21 · 17:00T. Janata—10360J. Prokupek—1211113
T. Janata10
LSep 7 · 21:00T. Janata1.536111161L. Krticka2.3811713113LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113LSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:00T. Janata1.44111194113L. Krticka2.6398111182LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102WSep 5 · 02:58T. Janata1.80671111113P. Pycha1.9111117372LSep 5 · 01:30T. Janata1.73138951S. Kadavy2.00111111113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652LSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113WSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113LSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123WSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182LSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752
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