TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104996
Played Sep 10Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1149111113116115
Lukas Krok
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 92 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 2–0 Lukas Krok Lukas Krok has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:39What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1504 vs Krok 1538
Krok
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 40% vs Krok 100%
Krok
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 50% vs Krok 80%
Krok
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -1 · Krok +5
Krok
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prokupek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.67 / Krok 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krok)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104996
Prokupek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 116 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it88% 67 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it72% 88 of 122
Krok2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 59 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeProkupek2wins
AwayKrok0wins
Prokupek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricProkupekKrokP − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.523.5+10.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime649 / 1364 vs 176 / 37547.6%46.9%649 / 1364 vs 176 / 375Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekProkupek 1.67/Krok 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 6 · 18:30J. Prokupek—1111113L. Krok—6680
WMay 20 · 19:00J. Prokupek—1111123L. Krok—89100
J. Prokupek10
LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113LSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113WSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113LSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123WSep 8 · 18:00J. Prokupek1.91118117113J. Dedek1.8091191182LSep 8 · 03:30J. Prokupek2.25145661D. Kouble1.57121111113LSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752WSep 8 · 24:30J. Prokupek2.25118119143D. Kouble1.57911711122
L. Krok10
WSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113WSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892WSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113WSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123LSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113
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