TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104995
Played Sep 10Finished
Lukas Krok
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12106111012118119
Jan Varcl Jnr
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:41 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krok above · Jan Varcl Jnr below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 100 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Lukas Krok at 61.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krok 2–1 Jan Varcl Jnr Jan Varcl Jnr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krok 1528 vs Jnr 1499
Krok
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krok 80% vs Jnr 40%
Krok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krok 80% vs Jnr 30%
Krok
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krok +4 · Jnr -1
Krok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Krok) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrok 1.61 / Jnr 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Krok)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104995
Krok1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Jnr2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 18 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKrok2wins
AwayJnr1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderKrok leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krok2Jnr1n = 3Krok took 2 of 3
S2Krok0Jnr3n = 3Jnr took 3 of 3
S3Krok1Jnr2n = 3Jnr took 2 of 3
S4Krok3Jnr0n = 3Krok took 3 of 3
S5Krok2Jnr1n = 3Krok took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKrokJnrK − JBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match49.045.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 374 vs 120 / 23546.8%51.1%175 / 374 vs 120 / 235Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokKrok 1.61/Jnr 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Krok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok—11771382J. Jnr—4111111113
WAug 18 · 19:00L. Krok—1171012113J. Jnr—711121062
WMay 29 · 24:00L. Krok—891111113J. Jnr—11117482
L. Krok10
WSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113WSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123LSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113LSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113WAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123
J. Jnr10
LSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113WSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113WSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113LSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr1.911111581K. Darin1.8071311113LSep 3 · 01:00J. Jnr2.2081181242D. Parhomenko1.611151110113LSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932LSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102
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