TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110164
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111196111151412
Tomas Dousa
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Dousa to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 98 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Tomas Dousa at 54.1%
98 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 18–8 Tomas Dousa Tomas Dousa has won 8 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-8 in 26
Janata
Correct
gap of 10 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1513 vs Dousa 1529
Dousa
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 20% vs Dousa 40%
Dousa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 30% vs Dousa 60%
Dousa
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata +1 · Dousa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.50 / Dousa 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Janata)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110164
Janata1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 110 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Dousa2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 53 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata8wins
AwayDousa2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata85.7%6 of 7
AwayDousa33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata7Dousa3n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S2Janata6Dousa4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Janata6Dousa4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S4Janata5Dousa2n = 7Janata took 5 of 7
S5Janata2Dousa1n = 3Janata took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataDousaJ − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.533.3+5.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime429 / 821 vs 348 / 70352.3%49.5%429 / 821 vs 348 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.50/Dousa 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 23 · 19:30T. Janata—11311113T. Dousa—711481
WJun 11 · 21:00T. Janata—11114113T. Dousa—891171
LJun 11 · 20:00T. Janata—11691292T. Dousa—9111110113
WJun 1 · 20:00T. Janata—911119113T. Dousa—11681172
WJun 1 · 16:00T. Janata—1111113T. Dousa—3760
WApr 10 · 17:29T. Janata—111185113T. Dousa—49111172
WApr 10 · 15:30T. Janata—11611113T. Dousa—711351
WApr 8 · 15:30T. Janata—41111113T. Dousa—117491
WMar 15 · 02:00T. Janata—1112113T. Dousa—71080
LDec 20 · 22:30T. Janata—8890T. Dousa—1111113
T. Janata10
WSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113LSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Janata1.536111161L. Krticka2.3811713113LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113LSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:00T. Janata1.44111194113L. Krticka2.6398111182LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721LSep 6 · 18:30M. Volf2.25911112123T. Janata1.57118611102
T. Dousa10
LSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981LSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa3.508990M. Sedlak1.281111113LSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.4012411143T. Dousa2.7510116121WSep 10 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0081112113M. Vedmoch1.731171061LSep 10 · 14:30M. Kolar2.501181011113T. Dousa1.5081112372WSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100WSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113WSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8312212113J. Plachy1.8310111051
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