TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13122710
Played Sep 13Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1513611611111911
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:01 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 61.9%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 6–6 Kyryl Darin Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:01What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Prokupek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1533 vs Darin 1446
Prokupek
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 40% vs Darin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 50% vs Darin 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +1 · Darin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Prokupek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.50 / Darin 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Prokupek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13122710
Prokupek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 98 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it91% 57 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it72% 72 of 100
Darin2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 182 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back20% 50 of 252
Down 0–2, comes back6% 10 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek5wins
AwayDarin5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek83.3%5 of 6
AwayDarin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek6Darin4n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S2Prokupek3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S3Prokupek7Darin3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S4Prokupek5Darin2n = 7Prokupek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekDarinP − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.135.6+1.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime653 / 1372 vs 755 / 154747.6%48.8%653 / 1372 vs 755 / 1547Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekProkupek 1.50/Darin 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 28 · 24:00J. Prokupek4012116113K. Darin261021131
WMar 29 · 04:30J. Prokupek54111913113K. Darin446211161
WMar 28 · 23:00J. Prokupek331111113K. Darin178630
LMar 28 · 15:00J. Prokupek214980K. Darin331111113
WMar 27 · 10:30J. Prokupek341111123K. Darin2569100
LMar 27 · 07:00J. Prokupek4249111172K. Darin51111199113
LMar 24 · 17:00J. Prokupek323101181K. Darin4111127113
LMar 23 · 21:30J. Prokupek4211681162K. Darin42511114113
WMar 23 · 14:28J. Prokupek46121013113K. Darin4210121191
LMar 23 · 11:00J. Prokupek27741151K. Darin3511112113
J. Prokupek10
WSep 13 · 11:00J. Prokupek1.67511311113F. Jungman2.1011911982LSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951LSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113LSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113WSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652LSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113WSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113
K. Darin10
LSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113LSep 13 · 10:30F. Jungman1.7311116113K. Darin2.00851141WSep 11 · 20:58K. Darin1.911310911113T. Kolenic1.80111211542WSep 11 · 20:30K. Darin2.20611115113T. Kolenic1.6111651162LSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113LSep 11 · 18:00L. Krok1.80911116113K. Darin1.9111761192WSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:30R. Bartunek2.6371240K. Darin1.441114113WSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113LSep 10 · 23:30K. Darin1.5371112752O. Vitrovyj2.381171011113
Upcoming Matches
J. Prokupek2 of 8 neutral
Sep 13 · 13:30J. Prokupek—T. Vinter——Sep 13 · 22:00J. Prokupek1.91J. Dedek1.80—Sep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.91V. Postelt1.80—Sep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.53P. Fojt2.38—Sep 14 · 02:00J. Prokupek1.83J. Plachy1.83—Sep 14 · 18:00J. Prokupek—Y. Holovatiuk——Sep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek—L. Krok——Sep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek—J. Dedek——
K. Darin1 of 6 neutral
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