TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13112641
Played Sep 11Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111012119114––
Frantisek Briza
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 81 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 56.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 22–33 Frantisek Briza Kyryl Darin has won 22 of their 55 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Darin beat Briza 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Briza
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-33 in 55
Briza
Wrong
gap of 11 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1480 vs Briza 1489
Briza
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Briza 80%
Briza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 70% vs Briza 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +2 · Briza +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Briza) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.20 / Briza 1.60
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Briza)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13112641
Darin2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 197 of 475
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 268
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 166
Briza1.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 81 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin8wins
AwayBriza2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin60%3 of 5
AwayBriza0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin5Briza4n = 9Darin took 5 of 9
S2Darin6Briza3n = 9Darin took 6 of 9
S3Darin3Briza6n = 9Briza took 6 of 9
S4Darin8Briza0n = 8Darin took 8 of 8
S5Darin3Briza2n = 5Darin took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinBrizaD − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match43.238.8+4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1545 vs 379 / 82248.7%46.1%753 / 1545 vs 379 / 822Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrizaDarin 2.20/Briza 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.1%
Briza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 11 · 01:00K. Darin—11119113F. Briza—841171
LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin—11841182F. Briza—911119113
WAug 28 · 16:30K. Darin—11116113F. Briza—791151
WAug 24 · 21:30K. Darin—881111113F. Briza—11118792
LAug 24 · 19:30K. Darin—11361162F. Briza—311118113
WAug 1 · 22:00K. Darin—811813113F. Briza—118111182
WJul 31 · 18:00K. Darin—1111113F. Briza—8640
WJul 29 · 01:30K. Darin—811811113F. Briza—11311692
WJul 27 · 18:30K. Darin—111113123F. Briza—13511101
K. Darin10
WSep 11 · 02:30R. Bartunek2.6371240K. Darin1.441114113WSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113LSep 10 · 23:30K. Darin1.5371112752O. Vitrovyj2.381171011113WSep 10 · 22:00K. Darin1.4011114113T. Regner2.75631191LSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123WSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113WSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100
F. Briza10
WSep 11 · 02:00F. Briza1.73111114123T. Regner2.007516101LSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113WSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860
Upcoming Matches
K. Darin
F. Briza
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.