TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105109
Played Sep 11Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811411119711––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 32–21 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 21 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:23What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-21 in 53
Briza
Wrong
gap of 11 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1495 vs Darin 1453
Briza
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 100% vs Darin 40%
Briza
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 80% vs Darin 60%
Briza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza +5 · Darin -1
Briza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 1.91 / Darin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Darin)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105109
Briza1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 83 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back24% 33 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Darin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 170 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it92% 86 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it74% 118 of 159
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza2wins
AwayDarin8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza16.7%1 of 6
AwayDarin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza6Darin3n = 9Briza took 6 of 9
S2Briza3Darin6n = 9Darin took 6 of 9
S3Briza5Darin4n = 9Briza took 5 of 9
S4Briza0Darin8n = 8Darin took 8 of 8
S5Briza2Darin4n = 6Darin took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaDarinB − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match40.843.6−2.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 822 vs 752 / 154546.2%48.7%380 / 822 vs 752 / 1545Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinBriza 1.91/Darin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 28 · 16:30F. Briza—791151K. Darin—11116113
LAug 24 · 21:30F. Briza—11118792K. Darin—881111113
WAug 24 · 19:30F. Briza—311118113K. Darin—11361162
LAug 1 · 22:00F. Briza—118111182K. Darin—811813113
LJul 31 · 18:00F. Briza—8640K. Darin—1111113
LJul 29 · 01:30F. Briza—11311692K. Darin—811811113
LJul 27 · 18:30F. Briza—13511101K. Darin—111113123
LJul 26 · 20:30F. Briza—119118102K. Darin—911311123
WJul 26 · 16:30F. Briza—1111710113K. Darin—56111272
F. Briza10
WSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113
K. Darin10
LSep 10 · 23:30K. Darin1.5371112752O. Vitrovyj2.381171011113WSep 10 · 22:00K. Darin1.4011114113T. Regner2.75631191LSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123WSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113WSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100WSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113
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