TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105019
Played Sep 10Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111171210711511
Oleg Vitrovyj
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:38 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Oleg Vitrovyj below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 56.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 1–1 Oleg Vitrovyj Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Darin 1465 vs Vitrovyj 1444
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Vitrovyj 40%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 70% vs Vitrovyj 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +1 · Vitrovyj -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.53 / Vitrovyj 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Darin)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13105019
Darin1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 170 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it92% 86 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it74% 118 of 159
Vitrovyj2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDarin1wins
AwayVitrovyj1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDarinVitrovyjD − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match40.042.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinVitrovyjBasisWin rate · lifetime752 / 1545 vs 348 / 65848.7%52.9%752 / 1545 vs 348 / 658Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.53/Vitrovyj 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vitrovyj won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 7 · 22:00K. Darin—681141O. Vitrovyj—11114113
WJun 7 · 14:30K. Darin—1011712113O. Vitrovyj—129111052
K. Darin10
WSep 10 · 22:00K. Darin1.4011114113T. Regner2.75631191LSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123WSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113WSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100WSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113LSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672
O. Vitrovyj10
LSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133LSep 8 · 02:30M. Placek1.801111133O. Vitrovyj1.9179110LSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760WSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580
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