TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087593
Played Sep 8Finished
Marek Placek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171191311––––
Oleg Vitrovyj
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Oleg Vitrovyj below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 62 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 54.0%
62 points played in total.
H2H Marek Placek 0–1 Oleg Vitrovyj Marek Placek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Placek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Placek 1396 vs Vitrovyj 1479
Vitrovyj
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 20% vs Vitrovyj 80%
Vitrovyj
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 30% vs Vitrovyj 70%
Vitrovyj
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek -2 · Vitrovyj -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitrovyj)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitrovyj form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 1.80 / Vitrovyj 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087593
Placek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 45 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Vitrovyj1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePlacek0wins
AwayVitrovyj1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPlacekVitrovyjP − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.050.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekVitrovyjBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 393 vs 347 / 65551.7%53%203 / 393 vs 347 / 655Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjPlacek 1.80/Vitrovyj 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Placek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 24:30M. Placek—55111172O. Vitrovyj—111198113
M. Placek10
LSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133LSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100LSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113WSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek2.63711291M. Placek1.4411911113LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133LSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760WSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113
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