TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105021
Played Sep 11Finished
Radek Bartunek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111214411––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Bartunek above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 59 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 63.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H Radek Bartunek 15–33 Kyryl Darin Radek Bartunek has won 15 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-33 in 48
Darin
Correct
gap of 18 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartunek 1455 vs Darin 1467
Darin
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartunek 60% vs Darin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartunek 40% vs Darin 70%
Darin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartunek -2 · Darin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bartunek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartunek 2.63 / Darin 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Darin)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105021
Bartunek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 51 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back25% 20 of 81
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 52
Darin1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 170 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it92% 86 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it74% 118 of 159
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartunek2wins
AwayDarin8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartunek25%1 of 4
AwayDarin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartunek4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Bartunek2Darin8n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S3Bartunek2Darin8n = 10Darin took 8 of 10
S4Bartunek4Darin3n = 7Bartunek took 4 of 7
S5Bartunek1Darin2n = 3Darin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartunekDarinB − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.540.8−8.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartunekDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 664 vs 752 / 154551.4%48.7%341 / 664 vs 752 / 1545Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinBartunek 2.63/Darin 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 19 · 03:28R. Bartunek—98131392K. Darin—11111111113
WJul 19 · 24:00R. Bartunek—116811123K. Darin—811116102
LJul 10 · 22:00R. Bartunek—84100K. Darin—1111123
LJul 8 · 22:00R. Bartunek—811641K. Darin—11911113
LJul 8 · 13:30R. Bartunek—118651K. Darin—71111113
LJul 8 · 12:00R. Bartunek—4670K. Darin—1111113
WJul 5 · 19:00R. Bartunek—111112113K. Darin—1381071
LFeb 21 · 02:30R. Bartunek—4270K. Darin—1111113
LFeb 19 · 15:00R. Bartunek—11751172K. Darin—711115113
LJan 17 · 24:00R. Bartunek—113951K. Darin—91111113
R. Bartunek10
LSep 11 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj2.75111222113R. Bartunek1.406102491LSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 23:00T. Regner2.5011811452R. Bartunek1.50911111113WSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071WSep 8 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.73151311123J. Framberk2.0013157101WSep 8 · 01:30T. Regner2.3821111952R. Bartunek1.53116511113LSep 8 · 24:00R. Bartunek2.00611671V. Dolezal1.7311511113LSep 7 · 23:00M. Stefek1.91111166113R. Bartunek1.8096111162LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133
K. Darin10
WSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113LSep 10 · 23:30K. Darin1.5371112752O. Vitrovyj2.381171011113WSep 10 · 22:00K. Darin1.4011114113T. Regner2.75631191LSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123WSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113WSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100WSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690
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