TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13105121
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11612102224119––
Radek Bartunek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:23 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeRadek Bartunek to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleg Vitrovyj above · Radek Bartunek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 22-24
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 105 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Radek Bartunek at 69.8%
105 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 3–17 Radek Bartunek Oleg Vitrovyj has won 3 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Bartunek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-17 in 20
Bartunek
Wrong
gap of 14 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1470 vs Bartunek 1467
Vitrovyj
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Bartunek 80%
Bartunek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 70% vs Bartunek 40%
Vitrovyj
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj +2 · Bartunek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Bartunek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitrovyj form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 2.75 / Bartunek 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Bartunek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13105121
Vitrovyj2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Bartunek1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 105 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it93% 57 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it83% 80 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitrovyj3wins
AwayBartunek7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBartunek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitrovyj60%3 of 5
AwayBartunek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitrovyj5Bartunek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vitrovyj5Bartunek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vitrovyj2Bartunek8n = 10Bartunek took 8 of 10
S4Vitrovyj1Bartunek3n = 4Bartunek took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitrovyjBartunekV − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.132.9−1.8per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjBartunekBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 660 vs 341 / 66353%51.4%350 / 660 vs 341 / 663Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartunekVitrovyj 2.75/Bartunek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.8%
Bartunek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vitrovyj won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj—811691R. Bartunek—11611113
WSep 1 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—1312113R. Bartunek—111090
LAug 29 · 02:00O. Vitrovyj—1110951R. Bartunek—81211113
LAug 24 · 03:41O. Vitrovyj—10670R. Bartunek—1211113
LAug 23 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj—11117832R. Bartunek—861111113
LAug 21 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj—48100R. Bartunek—1111123
LAug 18 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj—8280R. Bartunek—1111113
WAug 18 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj—1111113R. Bartunek—4360
LAug 13 · 03:00O. Vitrovyj—91090R. Bartunek—1112113
WAug 13 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—11119113R. Bartunek—621141
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 11 · 24:30T. Regner1.80121181232O. Vitrovyj1.911481110113WSep 10 · 23:30K. Darin1.5371112752O. Vitrovyj2.381171011113LSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133LSep 8 · 02:30M. Placek1.801111133O. Vitrovyj1.9179110LSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760WSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110
R. Bartunek10
LSep 11 · 02:30R. Bartunek2.6371240K. Darin1.441114113LSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 23:00T. Regner2.5011811452R. Bartunek1.50911111113WSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071WSep 8 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.73151311123J. Framberk2.0013157101WSep 8 · 01:30T. Regner2.3821111952R. Bartunek1.53116511113LSep 8 · 24:00R. Bartunek2.00611671V. Dolezal1.7311511113LSep 7 · 23:00M. Stefek1.91111166113R. Bartunek1.8096111162LSep 5 · 02:00K. Darin1.531111113R. Bartunek2.385690LSep 5 · 24:30R. Bartunek2.75114110D. Horak1.401311133
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