TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104505
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomas Regner
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141188111210311
Oleg Vitrovyj
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleg Vitrovyj to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Regner above · Oleg Vitrovyj below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 100 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Oleg Vitrovyj at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Regner 26–19 Oleg Vitrovyj Oleg Vitrovyj has won 19 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:08What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Regner
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-19 in 45
Regner
Wrong
gap of 7 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1352 vs Vitrovyj 1456
Vitrovyj
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 20% vs Vitrovyj 40%
Vitrovyj
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 30% vs Vitrovyj 70%
Vitrovyj
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner -4 · Vitrovyj +1
Regner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitrovyj)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitrovyj form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.80 / Vitrovyj 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vitrovyj)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104505
Regner1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 101 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it72% 69 of 96
Vitrovyj1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRegner4wins
AwayVitrovyj6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVitrovyj leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegner60%3 of 5
AwayVitrovyj80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner5Vitrovyj5n = 10split evenly
S2Regner3Vitrovyj7n = 10Vitrovyj took 7 of 10
S3Regner6Vitrovyj4n = 10Regner took 6 of 10
S4Regner3Vitrovyj3n = 6split evenly
S5Regner1Vitrovyj2n = 3Vitrovyj took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRegnerVitrovyjR − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.336.4−0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerVitrovyjBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 979 vs 349 / 65949.3%53%483 / 979 vs 349 / 659Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitrovyjRegner 1.80/Vitrovyj 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vitrovyj · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vitrovyj won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 23:30T. Regner—1111113O. Vitrovyj—4880
LAug 20 · 24:30T. Regner—89121152O. Vitrovyj—1111108113
LAug 18 · 24:00T. Regner—66100O. Vitrovyj—1111123
LAug 4 · 02:30T. Regner—45110O. Vitrovyj—1111133
WJul 29 · 24:00T. Regner—51111123O. Vitrovyj—1146101
LJul 15 · 24:30T. Regner—781191O. Vitrovyj—11118113
LJul 13 · 01:00T. Regner—1151361O. Vitrovyj—71115113
WJul 6 · 02:30T. Regner—117611113O. Vitrovyj—51111552
LJul 3 · 01:00T. Regner—1111121292O. Vitrovyj—2131014113
WJun 30 · 23:30T. Regner—1111113O. Vitrovyj—6960
T. Regner10
LSep 10 · 23:00T. Regner2.5011811452R. Bartunek1.50911111113LSep 10 · 22:00K. Darin1.4011114113T. Regner2.75631191LSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LSep 9 · 16:30T. Regner1.671491281M. Stefek2.10121114113WSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692LSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930WSep 8 · 20:58T. Regner1.5011811113M. Fisera2.50211391LSep 8 · 20:30T. Regner2.389650A. Svoboda1.531111113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 10 · 23:30K. Darin1.5371112752O. Vitrovyj2.381171011113LSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133LSep 8 · 02:30M. Placek1.801111133O. Vitrovyj1.9179110LSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760WSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113
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