TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104509
Played Sep 11Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11711514161210––
Tomas Regner
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 86 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 54.8%
86 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 12–16 Tomas Regner Frantisek Briza has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:08What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Briza
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-16 in 28
Regner
Wrong
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1482 vs Regner 1337
Briza
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 80% vs Regner 0%
Briza
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 70% vs Regner 20%
Briza
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -1 · Regner -5
Regner
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Briza) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 1.73 / Regner 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Briza)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104509
Briza1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 81 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Regner2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 119 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back25% 36 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza4wins
AwayRegner6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRegner leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza33.3%2 of 6
AwayRegner50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza6Regner4n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S2Briza2Regner8n = 10Regner took 8 of 10
S3Briza7Regner3n = 10Briza took 7 of 10
S4Briza5Regner4n = 9Briza took 5 of 9
S5Briza1Regner4n = 5Regner took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaRegnerB − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.0−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 822 vs 483 / 98046.1%49.3%379 / 822 vs 483 / 980Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrizaBriza 1.73/Regner 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Briza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 20:30F. Briza—11311113T. Regner—711411
LJul 27 · 15:30F. Briza—119641T. Regner—81111113
WJul 1 · 21:30F. Briza—11711123T. Regner—6116101
LJul 1 · 19:30F. Briza—66111152T. Regner—111154113
LJun 26 · 02:00F. Briza—77100T. Regner—1111123
LJun 17 · 20:00F. Briza—115119102T. Regner—911911123
WJun 11 · 01:00F. Briza—71511113T. Regner—1113491
LJun 6 · 21:00F. Briza—117111022T. Regner—511812113
LJun 6 · 20:30F. Briza—11411982T. Regner—411811113
WJun 6 · 24:30F. Briza—811711123T. Regner—118116102
F. Briza10
LSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113WSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:30F. Briza1.531111113L. Malek2.387860LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113
T. Regner10
LSep 11 · 24:30T. Regner1.80121181232O. Vitrovyj1.911481110113LSep 10 · 23:00T. Regner2.5011811452R. Bartunek1.50911111113LSep 10 · 22:00K. Darin1.4011114113T. Regner2.75631191LSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LSep 9 · 16:30T. Regner1.671491281M. Stefek2.10121114113WSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692LSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930WSep 8 · 20:58T. Regner1.5011811113M. Fisera2.50211391LSep 8 · 20:30T. Regner2.389650A. Svoboda1.531111113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
F. Briza
T. Regner
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.