TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110102
Played Sep 11Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611116115511116
Tibor Kolenic
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:24 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Tibor Kolenic below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 83 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 67.3%
83 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 4–12 Tibor Kolenic Kyryl Darin has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:24What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kolenic
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-12 in 16
Kolenic
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1445 vs Kolenic 1434
Darin
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Kolenic 20%
Darin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 50% vs Kolenic 20%
Darin
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -2 · Kolenic -3
Kolenic
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kolenic) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenic form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.20 / Kolenic 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kolenic)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110102
Darin2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 196 of 472
Down 0–1, comes back21% 56 of 266
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 165
Kolenic1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 72 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it75% 57 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin4wins
AwayKolenic6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolenic leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKolenic66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin1Kolenic9n = 10Kolenic took 9 of 10
S2Darin5Kolenic5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin5Kolenic5n = 10split evenly
S4Darin5Kolenic3n = 8Darin took 5 of 8
S5Darin2Kolenic2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinKolenicD − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match36.741.0−4.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinKolenicBasisWin rate · lifetime754 / 1547 vs 260 / 55648.7%46.8%754 / 1547 vs 260 / 556Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicDarin 2.20/Kolenic 1.61
Miss
What we said
59.7%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 10 · 17:00K. Darin—41211113T. Kolenic—1110881
WJul 10 · 14:00K. Darin—512511113T. Kolenic—111011732
WMay 28 · 21:00K. Darin—111125123T. Kolenic—671111102
WMay 28 · 18:00K. Darin—41211113T. Kolenic—1110961
LMay 5 · 08:00K. Darin—911711122T. Kolenic—114116143
LApr 29 · 18:00K. Darin—99100T. Kolenic—1111123
LApr 27 · 12:59K. Darin—317111382T. Kolenic—1119811113
LApr 27 · 11:00K. Darin—8750T. Kolenic—1111113
LSep 20 · 14:00K. Darin—881161T. Kolenic—11114113
LAug 6 · 10:00K. Darin—451131T. Kolenic—11117113
K. Darin10
WSep 11 · 20:58K. Darin1.911310911113T. Kolenic1.80111211542LSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113LSep 11 · 18:00L. Krok1.80911116113K. Darin1.9111761192WSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:30R. Bartunek2.6371240K. Darin1.441114113WSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113LSep 10 · 23:30K. Darin1.5371112752O. Vitrovyj2.381171011113WSep 10 · 22:00K. Darin1.4011114113T. Regner2.75631191LSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113
T. Kolenic10
LSep 11 · 20:58K. Darin1.911310911113T. Kolenic1.80111211542LSep 11 · 19:30T. Kolenic1.57116761L. Krok2.2541111113LSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162
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