TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110568
Played Sep 11Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114611711611––
Lukas Krok
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:43 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeTibor Kolenic to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Tibor Kolenic at 63.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 7–3 Lukas Krok Lukas Krok has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:43What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolenic
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Kolenic
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1442 vs Krok 1546
Krok
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 20% vs Krok 80%
Krok
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 30% vs Krok 80%
Krok
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic -2 · Krok +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kolenic) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 1.57 / Krok 2.25
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Krok)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110568
Kolenic1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 72 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 39 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it75% 57 of 76
Krok2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 60 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic7wins
AwayKrok3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolenic leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic85.7%6 of 7
AwayKrok66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic7Krok3n = 10Kolenic took 7 of 10
S2Kolenic3Krok7n = 10Krok took 7 of 10
S3Kolenic7Krok3n = 10Kolenic took 7 of 10
S4Kolenic5Krok4n = 9Kolenic took 5 of 9
S5Kolenic3Krok1n = 4Kolenic took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicKrokKolenic − KrokBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.538.9+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 555 vs 178 / 37846.9%47.1%260 / 555 vs 178 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicKolenic 1.57/Krok 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 20:00T. Kolenic—81111113L. Krok—116741
WAug 19 · 18:30T. Kolenic—113911113L. Krok—31111582
LMay 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic—61211101L. Krok—11148123
LMay 17 · 20:58T. Kolenic—911661L. Krok—11911113
WMay 17 · 18:00T. Kolenic—11411113L. Krok—511861
LMay 14 · 21:30T. Kolenic—11651182L. Krok—511118113
WMay 14 · 20:30T. Kolenic—117118143L. Krok—811411122
WMay 8 · 18:00T. Kolenic—126135133L. Krok—10111111112
WApr 29 · 21:28T. Kolenic—11711113L. Krok—711771
WApr 29 · 20:30T. Kolenic—1111183L. Krok—84160
T. Kolenic10
LSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113
L. Krok10
LSep 11 · 20:00L. Krok1.73113721K. Novak2.0041111113WSep 11 · 18:00L. Krok1.80911116113K. Darin1.9111761192WSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113LSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652WSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892WSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113WSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123LSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Kolenic
L. Krok
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.