TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110145
Played Sep 11Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811711––––
Kamil Novak
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Novak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Kamil Novak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 3-5
Point 46 set 3, 3-5 — our read held Kamil Novak at 54.0%
46 points drawn · the score is 10 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Kyryl Darin 4–6 Kamil Novak Kyryl Darin has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:33What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Darin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-6 in 10
Novak
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1474 vs Novak 1403
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Novak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 60% vs Novak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -1 · Novak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.80 / Novak 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Darin)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110145
Darin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 173 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it92% 89 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it75% 121 of 161
Novak1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog17% won 4 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back7% 1 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin4wins
AwayNovak6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNovak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin50%2 of 4
AwayNovak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin4Novak6n = 10Novak took 6 of 10
S2Darin5Novak5n = 10split evenly
S3Darin7Novak3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S4Darin3Novak6n = 9Novak took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinNovakD − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.1−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime754 / 1546 vs 150 / 31048.8%48.4%754 / 1546 vs 150 / 310Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.80/Novak 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Novak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 18:00K. Darin—91113133K. Novak—11911111
WJun 13 · 14:00K. Darin—11611113K. Novak—811681
WJun 10 · 21:00K. Darin—1111113K. Novak—9570
LJun 10 · 20:30K. Darin—1011111042K. Novak—127812113
LMay 8 · 13:00K. Darin—1081391K. Novak—121111113
LMay 8 · 12:00K. Darin—117971K. Novak—81111113
WJan 15 · 20:30K. Darin—81111133K. Novak—1155111
LOct 2 · 22:00K. Darin—791191K. Novak—11116113
LSep 27 · 22:00K. Darin—811831K. Novak—11911113
LSep 13 · 01:00K. Darin—1171051K. Novak—21112113
K. Darin10
LSep 11 · 18:00L. Krok1.80911116113K. Darin1.9111761192WSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:30R. Bartunek2.6371240K. Darin1.441114113WSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113LSep 10 · 23:30K. Darin1.5371112752O. Vitrovyj2.381171011113WSep 10 · 22:00K. Darin1.4011114113T. Regner2.75631191LSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123WSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113
K. Novak10
WSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692WAug 21 · 20:58K. Novak1.0811511123J. Steffan7.007118101WAug 21 · 20:00J. Steffan6.504970K. Novak1.101111113LAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38511114143K. Novak1.53119611122LAug 21 · 18:30K. Novak1.619980F. Jungman2.201111113WAug 14 · 21:30K. Novak1.6191111113Y. Holovatiuk2.20115851LAug 14 · 20:30J. Didi2.101111410113K. Novak1.6764111282WAug 14 · 19:30K. Novak2.101111113Y. Holovatiuk1.678980WAug 14 · 18:30M. Stefek2.007360K. Novak1.731111113LAug 4 · 20:58T. Dousa1.53111211123K. Novak2.3891013101
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.