TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12425207
Played Aug 14Finished
Julius Didi
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161144111012118
Kamil Novak
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:04 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeKamil Novak to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Kamil Novak below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Kamil Novak at 55.2%
88 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Novak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Didi 1465 vs Novak 1391
Didi
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 20% vs Novak 40%
Novak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 40% vs Novak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi +1 · Novak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Novak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.10 / Novak 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Novak)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12425207
Didi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 92 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back20% 22 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Novak1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 15 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 697 vs 158 / 33351.5%47.5%359 / 697 vs 158 / 333Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakDidi 2.10/Novak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Didi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Didi10
LSep 9 · 17:28J. Didi1.6161141192M. Stefek2.20118117113WSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162WSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113WSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930LSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102LSep 9 · 08:00J. Didi1.619911101M. Stefek2.2011118123LSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991
K. Novak10
WSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113WSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692WAug 21 · 20:58K. Novak1.0811511123J. Steffan7.007118101WAug 21 · 20:00J. Steffan6.504970K. Novak1.101111113LAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38511114143K. Novak1.53119611122LAug 21 · 18:30K. Novak1.619980F. Jungman2.201111113WAug 14 · 21:30K. Novak1.6191111113Y. Holovatiuk2.20115851WAug 14 · 19:30K. Novak2.101111113Y. Holovatiuk1.678980WAug 14 · 18:30M. Stefek2.007360K. Novak1.731111113LAug 4 · 20:58T. Dousa1.53111211123K. Novak2.3891013101
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