TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12472531
Played Aug 21Finished
Kamil Novak
Home
1.08
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1175111181210––
Jan Steffan
Away
7.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingKamil Novak above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10
75 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Novak 2–0 Jan Steffan Jan Steffan has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (40%) is below what odds imply (92%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 1.08 / Steffan 7.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Novak)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12472531
Novak1.08
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 16 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Steffan7.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 87 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back16% 20 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeNovak2wins
AwaySteffan0wins
Novak leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricNovakSteffanN − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.013.0+20.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 322 vs 461 / 96347.5%47.9%153 / 322 vs 461 / 963Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakNovak 1.08/Steffan 7.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.6%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJan 16 · 11:00K. Novak—1111113J. Steffan—4530
WSep 28 · 02:00K. Novak—1111113J. Steffan—2660
K. Novak10
WSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113WSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692WAug 21 · 20:00J. Steffan6.504970K. Novak1.101111113LAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38511114143K. Novak1.53119611122LAug 21 · 18:30K. Novak1.619980F. Jungman2.201111113WAug 14 · 21:30K. Novak1.6191111113Y. Holovatiuk2.20115851LAug 14 · 20:30J. Didi2.101111410113K. Novak1.6764111282WAug 14 · 19:30K. Novak2.101111113Y. Holovatiuk1.678980WAug 14 · 18:30M. Stefek2.007360K. Novak1.731111113LAug 4 · 20:58T. Dousa1.53111211123K. Novak2.3891013101
J. Steffan10
LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113LSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LAug 21 · 20:00J. Steffan6.504970K. Novak1.101111113
Upcoming Matches
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