TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114020
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomas Andrle
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811711118119116
Jan Steffan
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Steffan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jan Steffan at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 25–42 Jan Steffan Tomas Andrle has won 25 of their 67 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Steffan beat Andrle 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:06What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Steffan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-42 in 67
Steffan
Wrong
gap of 17 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1516 vs Steffan 1432
Andrle
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 80% vs Steffan 60%
Andrle
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 60% vs Steffan 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle -1 · Steffan +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Andrle) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andrle form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 1.90 / Steffan 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Andrle)+5.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114020
Andrle1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 37 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Steffan1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 133 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it92% 70 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it80% 106 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAndrle3wins
AwaySteffan7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle33.3%2 of 6
AwaySteffan75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle6Steffan4n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S2Andrle5Steffan5n = 10split evenly
S3Andrle6Steffan4n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S4Andrle3Steffan7n = 10Steffan took 7 of 10
S5Andrle0Steffan4n = 4Steffan took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAndrleSteffanA − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.143.4−3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrleSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 473 vs 464 / 97049.5%47.8%234 / 473 vs 464 / 970Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleAndrle 1.90/Steffan 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 08:30T. Andrle—1181110102J. Steffan—611612123
LAug 11 · 24:30T. Andrle—511791J. Steffan—11711113
LAug 4 · 15:00T. Andrle—12115692J. Steffan—1061111113
LJul 31 · 24:30T. Andrle—111281172J. Steffan—8101113113
WJul 29 · 24:30T. Andrle—31111113J. Steffan—119981
WJul 17 · 01:00T. Andrle—13612113J. Steffan—11111081
LJul 15 · 01:00T. Andrle—14511672J. Steffan—1211911113
LJul 13 · 01:30T. Andrle—811651J. Steffan—11911113
WJul 7 · 21:30T. Andrle—11511113J. Steffan—711491
LJul 7 · 20:30T. Andrle—9811101J. Steffan—11117123
T. Andrle10
LSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113WSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113WAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113LAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260
J. Steffan10
WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162LSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692LSep 9 · 14:30J. Steffan1.37791191M. Stefek2.6011119113LSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192WSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760
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