TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109795
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomas Andrle
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116611118––
Adam Svoboda
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Andrle above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Andrle 3–0 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:53What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Andrle
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Andrle
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Andrle 1516 vs Svoboda 1567
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrle 80% vs Svoboda 60%
Andrle
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrle 70% vs Svoboda 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrle +4 · Svoboda +2
Andrle
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Andrle) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrle 1.61 / Svoboda 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Andrle)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13109795
Andrle1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 56 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Svoboda2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 36 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAndrle3wins
AwaySvoboda0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderAndrle leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAndrle100%3 of 3
AwaySvobodan = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Andrle3Svoboda0n = 3Andrle took 3 of 3
S2Andrle3Svoboda0n = 3Andrle took 3 of 3
S3Andrle2Svoboda1n = 3Andrle took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricAndrleSvobodaA − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match36.724.7+12.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrleSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 471 vs 155 / 29649.5%52.4%233 / 471 vs 155 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleAndrle 1.61/Svoboda 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Andrle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 22 · 22:30T. Andrle—121182113A. Svoboda—107111172
WApr 25 · 02:00T. Andrle—1111113A. Svoboda—5360
WFeb 14 · 02:30T. Andrle—1111113A. Svoboda—5360
T. Andrle10
WSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113WSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113WAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113LAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260WAug 28 · 23:30T. Andrle2.501161011113P. Bruzek1.5061112982WAug 28 · 22:00T. Andrle1.911110311113J. Didi1.8051211592
A. Svoboda10
WSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170LSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123LSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112WSep 10 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.301111113R. Hasmanda3.408680WSep 10 · 09:30V. Dolezal1.91981661A. Svoboda1.80111114113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Stefek2.383930A. Svoboda1.531111113WSep 10 · 07:00L. Sulava3.70612111162A. Svoboda1.19111477113LSep 10 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.5010550V. Dolezal2.501211113
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