TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104104
Played Sep 10Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
3.70
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111214117117611
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.19
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:02 and never touched — 76.5% is still 76.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
76.5%
76.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 76.5%
96 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 1–8 Adam Svoboda Lubor Sulava has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:02What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.19 (76%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-8 in 9
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1404 vs Svoboda 1573
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 169 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 0% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 30% vs Svoboda 80%
Svoboda
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava -5 · Svoboda +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Svoboda) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (0%) is below what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 3.70 / Svoboda 1.19
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Svoboda)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104104
Sulava3.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 62 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Svoboda1.19
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 60 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSulava1wins
AwaySvoboda8wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSvoboda leads 8–1, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulava25%1 of 4
AwaySvoboda100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava4Svoboda5n = 9Svoboda took 5 of 9
S2Sulava1Svoboda8n = 9Svoboda took 8 of 9
S3Sulava2Svoboda7n = 9Svoboda took 7 of 9
S4Sulava2Svoboda2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricSulavaSvobodaSulava − SvobodaBasisWins18−7in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match29.036.6−7.6per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 968 vs 151 / 28949.5%52.3%479 / 968 vs 151 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSulava 3.70/Svoboda 1.19
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.1%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 10 · 07:00L. Sulava—612111162A. Svoboda—111477113
LSep 9 · 01:30L. Sulava—3780A. Svoboda—1111113
LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava—6450A. Svoboda—1111113
LAug 24 · 06:30L. Sulava—5980A. Svoboda—1111113
LDec 20 · 04:30L. Sulava—5460A. Svoboda—1111113
LDec 19 · 23:00L. Sulava—11411101A. Svoboda—81113123
LDec 14 · 03:30L. Sulava—11791182A. Svoboda—611118113
LOct 9 · 03:30L. Sulava—118651A. Svoboda—31111113
WOct 9 · 24:00L. Sulava—1111113A. Svoboda—9470
L. Sulava10
LSep 10 · 06:00M. Stefek1.809111112113L. Sulava1.9111691492LSep 9 · 01:30L. Sulava3.403780A. Svoboda1.301111113LSep 9 · 24:30V. Kosar2.00941111113L. Sulava1.7311113242LSep 8 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.3621211113L. Sulava3.001110781LSep 8 · 22:30L. Sulava2.0010640M. Novak1.731211113WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471LSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113LSep 6 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.441211113L. Sulava2.6310580
A. Svoboda10
WSep 10 · 08:00M. Stefek2.383930A. Svoboda1.531111113WSep 9 · 03:30A. Svoboda1.551111113V. Kosar2.308570WSep 9 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.441111123R. Hasmanda2.6396100WSep 9 · 01:30L. Sulava3.403780A. Svoboda1.301111113WSep 9 · 24:00A. Svoboda1.401111113M. Novak2.757730LSep 8 · 23:00V. Kosar2.63115611113A. Svoboda1.4471111682WSep 8 · 21:28O. Fejtek1.61411771A. Svoboda2.2011611113WSep 8 · 20:30T. Regner2.389650A. Svoboda1.531111113WSep 8 · 19:30A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Fisera2.389640WSep 6 · 23:00L. Sulava2.636450A. Svoboda1.441111113
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