TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109804
Played Sep 11Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116119––––
Ondrej Fejtek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Ondrej Fejtek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 1–1 Ondrej Fejtek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Fejtek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1553 vs Fejtek 1469
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 40% vs Fejtek 20%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 60% vs Fejtek 40%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Fejtek -4
Fejtek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fejtek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.83 / Fejtek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svoboda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109804
Svoboda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Fejtek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSvoboda1wins
AwayFejtek1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSvobodaFejtekS − FBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.531.0+1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaFejtekBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 297 vs 31 / 5652.2%55.4%155 / 297 vs 31 / 56Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.83/Fejtek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 8 · 21:28A. Svoboda—11611113O. Fejtek—411771
LSep 8 · 18:30A. Svoboda—9980O. Fejtek—1111113
A. Svoboda10
LSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170LSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123LSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112WSep 10 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.301111113R. Hasmanda3.408680WSep 10 · 09:30V. Dolezal1.91981661A. Svoboda1.80111114113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Stefek2.383930A. Svoboda1.531111113WSep 10 · 07:00L. Sulava3.70612111162A. Svoboda1.19111477113LSep 10 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.5010550V. Dolezal2.501211113
O. Fejtek10
LSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113LSep 8 · 21:28O. Fejtek1.61411771A. Svoboda2.2011611113LSep 8 · 20:00M. Fisera2.00111175113O. Fejtek1.7377111192WSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.831111113A. Svoboda1.839980WAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113WAug 31 · 20:00J. Steffan1.91118991O. Fejtek1.8061111113LAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.679118101J. Didi2.1011711123
Upcoming Matches
A. Svoboda1 of 4 neutral
O. Fejtek
Nothing scheduled
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