TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109809
Played Sep 11Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13111191214119––
Ondrej Fejtek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:55 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fejtek to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Ondrej Fejtek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 90 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Fejtek at 61.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 2–2 Ondrej Fejtek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Fejtek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1417 vs Fejtek 1469
Fejtek
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 20% vs Fejtek 40%
Fejtek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 40% vs Fejtek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan -1 · Fejtek -3
Fejtek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Fejtek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fejtek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 2.20 / Fejtek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Fejtek)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109809
Steffan2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 95 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 71
Fejtek1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSteffan2wins
AwayFejtek2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan66.7%2 of 3
AwayFejtekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan3Fejtek1n = 4Steffan took 3 of 4
S2Steffan2Fejtek2n = 4split evenly
S3Steffan1Fejtek3n = 4Fejtek took 3 of 4
S4Steffan2Fejtek2n = 4split evenly
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSteffanFejtekS − FBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.239.0−2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanFejtekBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 969 vs 31 / 5647.8%55.4%463 / 969 vs 31 / 56Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FejtekSteffan 2.20/Fejtek 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Fejtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan—131112113O. Fejtek—1191491
LAug 31 · 20:00J. Steffan—118991O. Fejtek—61111113
LOct 22 · 07:30J. Steffan—811311O. Fejtek—11911113
WOct 20 · 02:00J. Steffan—11511113O. Fejtek—811671
J. Steffan10
LSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162LSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692LSep 9 · 14:30J. Steffan1.37791191M. Stefek2.6011119113LSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192WSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760WSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113LSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672
O. Fejtek10
LSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113LSep 8 · 21:28O. Fejtek1.61411771A. Svoboda2.2011611113LSep 8 · 20:00M. Fisera2.00111175113O. Fejtek1.7377111192WSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.831111113A. Svoboda1.839980WAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113WAug 31 · 20:00J. Steffan1.91118991O. Fejtek1.8061111113LAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270LAug 31 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.679118101J. Didi2.1011711123LJan 27 · 02:30O. Fejtek1.44111171062D. Parhomenko2.63451112113
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