TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109814
Played Sep 11Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61111861112101210
Tomas Andrle
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Andrle to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Tomas Andrle below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 97 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Andrle at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 41–25 Tomas Andrle Tomas Andrle has won 25 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Andrle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-25 in 66
Steffan
Correct
gap of 16 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Steffan 1417 vs Andrle 1530
Andrle
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Steffan 40% vs Andrle 100%
Andrle
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Steffan 50% vs Andrle 70%
Andrle
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Steffan +1 · Andrle +5
Andrle
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Andrle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Andrle form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.83 / Andrle 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Andrle)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109814
Steffan1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Andrle1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSteffan6wins
AwayAndrle4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSteffan leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan60%3 of 5
AwayAndrle40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan5Andrle5n = 10split evenly
S2Steffan4Andrle6n = 10Andrle took 6 of 10
S3Steffan5Andrle5n = 10split evenly
S4Steffan6Andrle4n = 10Steffan took 6 of 10
S5Steffan3Andrle1n = 4Steffan took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSteffanAndrleS − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.340.5+2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanAndrleBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 969 vs 234 / 47247.8%49.6%463 / 969 vs 234 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AndrleSteffan 1.83/Andrle 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Andrle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 24:30J. Steffan—11711113T. Andrle—511791
WAug 4 · 15:00J. Steffan—1061111113T. Andrle—12115692
WJul 31 · 24:30J. Steffan—8101113113T. Andrle—111281172
LJul 29 · 24:30J. Steffan—119981T. Andrle—31111113
LJul 17 · 01:00J. Steffan—11111081T. Andrle—13612113
WJul 15 · 01:00J. Steffan—1211911113T. Andrle—14511672
WJul 13 · 01:30J. Steffan—11911113T. Andrle—811651
LJul 7 · 21:30J. Steffan—711491T. Andrle—11511113
WJul 7 · 20:30J. Steffan—11117123T. Andrle—9811101
LJun 25 · 20:30J. Steffan—111112842T. Andrle—9131011113
J. Steffan10
WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162LSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692LSep 9 · 14:30J. Steffan1.37791191M. Stefek2.6011119113LSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 02:00J. Steffan1.91911115113P. Picek1.8011951192WSep 8 · 01:00J. Steffan2.001111113O. Vitrovyj1.739760WSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113
T. Andrle10
WSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113WSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113WSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113WSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LAug 29 · 03:30T. Andrle1.9081050M. Stefek1.801112113WAug 29 · 02:30M. Stefek1.7311812942T. Andrle2.006111011113LAug 29 · 01:00R. Urban1.731111113T. Andrle2.002260WAug 28 · 23:30T. Andrle2.501161011113P. Bruzek1.5061112982
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