TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115094
Played Sep 11Finished
Jan Steffan
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311911117119411
Miroslav Svedik
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingJan Steffan above · Miroslav Svedik below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 87 set 5, 4-11
87 points played in total.
H2H Jan Steffan 2–2 Miroslav Svedik Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Steffan beat Svedik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svedik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svedik form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSteffan 1.91 / Svedik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svedik)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115094
Steffan1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 95 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 71
Svedik1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 17 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSteffan2wins
AwaySvedik2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSteffan66.7%2 of 3
AwaySvedikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Steffan3Svedik1n = 4Steffan took 3 of 4
S2Steffan2Svedik2n = 4split evenly
S3Steffan1Svedik3n = 4Svedik took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSteffanSvedikSteffan − SvedikBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match36.037.8−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSteffanSvedikBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 974 vs 52 / 15047.7%34.7%465 / 974 vs 52 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.132.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvedikSteffan 1.91/Svedik 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svedik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svedik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 11 · 12:30J. Steffan—1311113M. Svedik—11460
WAug 12 · 10:30J. Steffan—12117113M. Svedik—1091161
LJul 23 · 11:30J. Steffan—135316112M. Svedik—11111114133
LApr 8 · 12:00J. Steffan—21080M. Svedik—1112113
J. Steffan10
WSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113LSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162LSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692
M. Svedik10
LSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113LSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic2.0011138113M. Svedik1.739111141LAug 14 · 13:30M. Svedik1.82551171T. Kolenic1.8811116113WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481WAug 14 · 11:30T. Kolenic2.209560M. Svedik1.611111113
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