TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109798
Played Sep 11Finished
Miroslav Svedik
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211411114511––
Adam Svoboda
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Svedik above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 59 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 70.4%
59 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Svedik 2–1 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:53What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Svedik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svedik 1355 vs Svoboda 1580
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 225 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svedik 0% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svedik 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svedik -5 · Svoboda +1
Svedik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Svedik) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvedik 1.53 / Svoboda 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Svedik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109798
Svedik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 17 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Svoboda2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 36 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvedik2wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSvedik leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svedik2Svoboda1n = 3Svedik took 2 of 3
S2Svedik0Svoboda3n = 3Svoboda took 3 of 3
S3Svedik3Svoboda0n = 3Svedik took 3 of 3
S4Svedik1Svoboda2n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvedikSvobodaSvedik − SvobodaBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.037.7−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvedikSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 149 vs 158 / 30134.9%52.5%52 / 149 vs 158 / 301Avg sets wonper match1.52.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvedikSvedik 1.53/Svoboda 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Svedik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik—241151A. Svoboda—11114113
WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik—11911113A. Svoboda—711481
WJul 16 · 12:30M. Svedik—119124113A. Svoboda—711101172
M. Svedik10
WSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113LSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic2.0011138113M. Svedik1.739111141LAug 14 · 13:30M. Svedik1.82551171T. Kolenic1.8811116113WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481WAug 14 · 11:30T. Kolenic2.209560M. Svedik1.611111113
A. Svoboda10
LSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950LSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.6171090O. Fejtek2.201112113WSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690LSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170LSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123LAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481
Upcoming Matches
M. Svedik
Nothing scheduled
A. Svoboda
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