TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114997
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.43
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119115––––
Adam Svoboda
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 1–0 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Dedek beat Svoboda 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:54What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (65%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1491 vs Svoboda 1566
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 60% vs Svoboda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 50% vs Svoboda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +3 · Svoboda -1
Dedek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.43 / Svoboda 2.60
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Dedek)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114997
Dedek1.43
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 150 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it98% 87 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it79% 112 of 141
Svoboda2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 36 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDedek1wins
AwaySvoboda0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDedek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDedekSvobodaD − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.046.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 933 vs 158 / 30251.8%52.3%483 / 933 vs 158 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.43/Svoboda 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek—117117133A. Svoboda—411911112
J. Dedek10
WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113WSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890LSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113LSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111WSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113
A. Svoboda10
LSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113WSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.6171090O. Fejtek2.201112113WSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690LSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170LSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123LSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112
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