TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108744
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116114611113––
Miroslav Svedik
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:11 and never touched — 62.6% is still 62.6%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
62.6%
62.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Miroslav Svedik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 63 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 62.6%
63 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 7–6 Miroslav Svedik Miroslav Svedik has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1458 vs Svedik 1376
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 20% vs Svedik 0%
Dedek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 40% vs Svedik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -4 · Svedik -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svedik form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.30 / Svedik 3.40
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Dedek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108744
Dedek1.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 150 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it98% 87 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it79% 112 of 141
Svedik3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog10% won 2 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek7wins
AwaySvedik3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek100%6 of 6
AwaySvedik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek6Svedik4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S2Dedek5Svedik5n = 10split evenly
S3Dedek7Svedik3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S4Dedek4Svedik1n = 5Dedek took 4 of 5
S5Dedek2Svedik1n = 3Dedek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekSvedikD − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.332.6+4.7per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekSvedikBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 935 vs 60 / 15551.6%38.7%482 / 935 vs 60 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.433.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.30/Svedik 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 19 · 10:30J. Dedek—11511113M. Svedik—411961
WApr 23 · 11:00J. Dedek—1111113M. Svedik—8770
WApr 14 · 10:00J. Dedek—1411113M. Svedik—12420
WMar 30 · 13:00J. Dedek—1111113M. Svedik—5370
WMar 30 · 10:00J. Dedek—1111113M. Svedik—7550
WNov 25 · 12:00J. Dedek—2111211113M. Svedik—11714792
LNov 13 · 14:00J. Dedek—851171M. Svedik—11119113
WNov 13 · 11:00J. Dedek—1112911113M. Svedik—71411872
LSep 30 · 16:30J. Dedek—581112112M. Svedik—1111910133
LJul 24 · 13:30J. Dedek—8670M. Svedik—1111113
J. Dedek10
WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113LSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890LSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113LSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111WSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113
M. Svedik10
WSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113LSep 11 · 12:30M. Svedik1.6111460J. Steffan2.201311113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic2.0011138113M. Svedik1.739111141LAug 14 · 13:30M. Svedik1.82551171T. Kolenic1.8811116113WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481WAug 14 · 11:30T. Kolenic2.209560M. Svedik1.611111113
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