TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110057
Played Sep 11Finished
Miroslav Svedik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113411611––––
Jan Steffan
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:12 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Svedik to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Svedik above · Jan Steffan below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 56 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Miroslav Svedik at 57.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Svedik 2–1 Jan Steffan Jan Steffan has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:12What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svedik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svedik 1355 vs Steffan 1400
Steffan
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svedik 0% vs Steffan 40%
Steffan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svedik 30% vs Steffan 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svedik -5 · Steffan -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Svedik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svedik form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvedik 1.61 / Steffan 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Svedik)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110057
Svedik1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite59% won 17 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Steffan2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 95 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back18% 23 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvedik2wins
AwaySteffan1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSvedik leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svedik1Steffan2n = 3Steffan took 2 of 3
S2Svedik2Steffan1n = 3Svedik took 2 of 3
S3Svedik3Steffan0n = 3Svedik took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvedikSteffanSvedik − SteffanBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.336.3+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvedikSteffanBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 149 vs 464 / 97334.9%47.7%52 / 149 vs 464 / 973Avg sets wonper match1.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match32.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvedikSvedik 1.61/Steffan 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Svedik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Steffan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 12 · 10:30M. Svedik—1091161J. Steffan—12117113
WJul 23 · 11:30M. Svedik—11111114133J. Steffan—135316112
WApr 8 · 12:00M. Svedik—1112113J. Steffan—21080
M. Svedik10
WSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113LSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113LSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic2.0011138113M. Svedik1.739111141LAug 14 · 13:30M. Svedik1.82551171T. Kolenic1.8811116113WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481WAug 14 · 11:30T. Kolenic2.209560M. Svedik1.611111113
J. Steffan10
LSep 11 · 12:59J. Steffan1.9139111142M. Svedik1.80111179113LSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113LSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 09:30T. Andrle1.90871111113J. Steffan1.8011118962WSep 11 · 08:30J. Steffan1.83611612123T. Andrle1.831181110102WSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LSep 9 · 16:00J. Didi2.02119118113J. Steffan1.7081181162LSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692
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