TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12465652
Played Aug 21Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191311811114––
Miroslav Svedik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:56 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Svedik to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Miroslav Svedik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 78 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Miroslav Svedik at 56.6%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 8–8 Miroslav Svedik Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:56What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Svedik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1559 vs Svedik 1376
Kolenic
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 40% vs Svedik 80%
Svedik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 60% vs Svedik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic +1 · Svedik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolenic) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svedik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 2.00 / Svedik 1.73
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kolenic)+11.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12465652
Kolenic2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 35 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Svedik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 19 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic5wins
AwaySvedik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic83.3%5 of 6
AwaySvedik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic6Svedik4n = 10Kolenic took 6 of 10
S2Kolenic7Svedik3n = 10Kolenic took 7 of 10
S3Kolenic3Svedik7n = 10Svedik took 7 of 10
S4Kolenic4Svedik3n = 7Kolenic took 4 of 7
S5Kolenic1Svedik2n = 3Svedik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicSvedikK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.135.3+0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicSvedikBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 576 vs 71 / 16746.9%42.5%270 / 576 vs 71 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.533.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolenicKolenic 2.00/Svedik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Kolenic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolenic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic—1111113M. Svedik—4590
WAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic—11138113M. Svedik—9111141
WAug 14 · 13:30T. Kolenic—11116113M. Svedik—551171
LAug 14 · 11:30T. Kolenic—9560M. Svedik—1111113
LOct 22 · 13:30T. Kolenic—35111172M. Svedik—111169113
WOct 22 · 10:00T. Kolenic—111187113M. Svedik—85111182
WOct 7 · 11:00T. Kolenic—1111113M. Svedik—7770
LAug 27 · 13:30T. Kolenic—1186101M. Svedik—41111123
LAug 27 · 12:30T. Kolenic—81171132M. Svedik—118115113
LJul 10 · 13:30T. Kolenic—512881M. Svedik—111011113
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic1.671013811153F. Briza2.101211118132
M. Svedik10
LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 14 · 13:30M. Svedik1.82551171T. Kolenic1.8811116113WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481WAug 14 · 11:30T. Kolenic2.209560M. Svedik1.611111113WAug 14 · 10:00M. Svedik1.36812116113M. Trinta3.00111071192WAug 12 · 13:00K. Darin1.83311841M. Svedik1.8311311113LAug 12 · 12:30Y. Holovatiuk1.9111811113M. Svedik1.80911561LAug 12 · 11:30M. Svedik1.616650K. Darin2.201111113
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