TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12403895
Played Aug 12Finished
Miroslav Svedik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611511––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Svedik to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Svedik above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 50 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Miroslav Svedik at 64.8%
50 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Svedik 5–1 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svedik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Svedik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svedik 1393 vs Darin 1422
Darin
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svedik 60% vs Darin 20%
Svedik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svedik 60% vs Darin 40%
Svedik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svedik -2 · Darin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Svedik) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvedik 1.61 / Darin 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Svedik)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12403895
Svedik1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 16 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Darin2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 211 of 475
Down 0–1, comes back25% 65 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back10% 15 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSvedik5wins
AwayDarin1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSvedik leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvedikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDarin25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svedik2Darin4n = 6Darin took 4 of 6
S2Svedik4Darin2n = 6Svedik took 4 of 6
S3Svedik5Darin1n = 6Svedik took 5 of 6
S4Svedik3Darin0n = 3Svedik took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSvedikDarinS − DBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.531.5+5.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvedikDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 164 vs 752 / 152242.7%49.4%70 / 164 vs 752 / 1522Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvedikSvedik 1.61/Darin 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Svedik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 16 · 12:59M. Svedik—91111123K. Darin—1138101
WJul 16 · 10:00M. Svedik—91111123K. Darin—1198101
LJun 5 · 13:00M. Svedik—71140K. Darin—1113113
WJun 5 · 11:30M. Svedik—1112113K. Darin—71080
WNov 25 · 14:00M. Svedik—1111103K. Darin—8490
WNov 25 · 11:00M. Svedik—841111113K. Darin—11114482
M. Svedik10
LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic2.0011138113M. Svedik1.739111141LAug 14 · 13:30M. Svedik1.82551171T. Kolenic1.8811116113WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481WAug 14 · 11:30T. Kolenic2.209560M. Svedik1.611111113WAug 14 · 10:00M. Svedik1.36812116113M. Trinta3.00111071192WAug 12 · 13:00K. Darin1.83311841M. Svedik1.8311311113LAug 12 · 12:30Y. Holovatiuk1.9111811113M. Svedik1.80911561
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113WAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 12 · 13:00K. Darin1.83311841M. Svedik1.8311311113
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