TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12423936
Played Aug 14Finished
Tibor Kolenic
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511611––––
Miroslav Svedik
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:11 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Svedik to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTibor Kolenic above · Miroslav Svedik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 53 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Miroslav Svedik at 58.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Tibor Kolenic 5–7 Miroslav Svedik Tibor Kolenic has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:11What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svedik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Svedik
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolenic 1525 vs Svedik 1397
Kolenic
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolenic 100% vs Svedik 40%
Kolenic
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolenic 60% vs Svedik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolenic +5 · Svedik +2
Kolenic
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Svedik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svedik form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolenic 2.20 / Svedik 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Svedik)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12423936
Kolenic2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 31 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Svedik1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 16 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolenic4wins
AwaySvedik6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSvedik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolenic75%3 of 4
AwaySvedik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolenic4Svedik6n = 10Svedik took 6 of 10
S2Kolenic6Svedik4n = 10Kolenic took 6 of 10
S3Kolenic6Svedik4n = 10Kolenic took 6 of 10
S4Kolenic2Svedik6n = 8Svedik took 6 of 8
S5Kolenic2Svedik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolenicSvedikK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.739.4−1.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolenicSvedikBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 576 vs 71 / 16747.1%42.5%271 / 576 vs 71 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.534.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvedikKolenic 2.20/Svedik 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Svedik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svedik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 22 · 13:30T. Kolenic—35111172M. Svedik—111169113
WOct 22 · 10:00T. Kolenic—111187113M. Svedik—85111182
WOct 7 · 11:00T. Kolenic—1111113M. Svedik—7770
LAug 27 · 13:30T. Kolenic—1186101M. Svedik—41111123
LAug 27 · 12:30T. Kolenic—81171132M. Svedik—118115113
LJul 10 · 13:30T. Kolenic—512881M. Svedik—111011113
WJul 10 · 12:30T. Kolenic—512128113M. Svedik—1110101162
LJul 7 · 13:30T. Kolenic—6612101M. Svedik—111110123
WJul 7 · 10:30T. Kolenic—1112113M. Svedik—61060
LMay 15 · 12:30T. Kolenic—6611121M. Svedik—11115143
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162LAug 31 · 06:30J. Plachy1.801111113T. Kolenic1.919660WAug 28 · 21:08F. Briza2.1581141152T. Kolenic1.63116116113WAug 28 · 20:30T. Kolenic1.671013811153F. Briza2.101211118132
M. Svedik10
LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic2.0011138113M. Svedik1.739111141LAug 14 · 13:30M. Svedik1.82551171T. Kolenic1.8811116113WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481WAug 14 · 10:00M. Svedik1.36812116113M. Trinta3.00111071192WAug 12 · 13:00K. Darin1.83311841M. Svedik1.8311311113LAug 12 · 12:30Y. Holovatiuk1.9111811113M. Svedik1.80911561LAug 12 · 11:30M. Svedik1.616650K. Darin2.201111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.