TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12434057
Played Aug 14Finished
Miroslav Svedik
Home
1.82
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511511116711––
Tibor Kolenic
Away
1.88
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Svedik to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiroslav Svedik above · Tibor Kolenic below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 67 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Miroslav Svedik at 54.4%
67 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Svedik 8–5 Tibor Kolenic Tibor Kolenic has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Svedik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Svedik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svedik 1428 vs Kolenic 1516
Kolenic
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svedik 80% vs Kolenic 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svedik 60% vs Kolenic 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svedik +4 · Kolenic +1
Svedik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svedik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolenic form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvedik 1.82 / Kolenic 1.88
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svedik)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12434057
Svedik1.82
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 16 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Kolenic1.88
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 31 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvedik6wins
AwayKolenic4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSvedik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvedik83.3%5 of 6
AwayKolenic75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svedik6Kolenic4n = 10Svedik took 6 of 10
S2Svedik4Kolenic6n = 10Kolenic took 6 of 10
S3Svedik5Kolenic5n = 10split evenly
S4Svedik5Kolenic2n = 7Svedik took 5 of 7
S5Svedik2Kolenic2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvedikKolenicS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.2+2.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvedikKolenicBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 167 vs 271 / 57743.1%47%72 / 167 vs 271 / 577Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvedikSvedik 1.82/Kolenic 1.88
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svedik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolenic won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 11:30M. Svedik—1111113T. Kolenic—9560
WOct 22 · 13:30M. Svedik—111169113T. Kolenic—35111172
LOct 22 · 10:00M. Svedik—85111182T. Kolenic—111187113
LOct 7 · 11:00M. Svedik—7770T. Kolenic—1111113
WAug 27 · 13:30M. Svedik—41111123T. Kolenic—1186101
WAug 27 · 12:30M. Svedik—118115113T. Kolenic—81171132
WJul 10 · 13:30M. Svedik—111011113T. Kolenic—512881
LJul 10 · 12:30M. Svedik—1110101162T. Kolenic—512128113
WJul 7 · 13:30M. Svedik—111110123T. Kolenic—6612101
LJul 7 · 10:30M. Svedik—61060T. Kolenic—1112113
M. Svedik10
LAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590LAug 21 · 12:30M. Svedik2.109640Y. Holovatiuk1.671111113LAug 21 · 11:00M. Svedik1.919960K. Darin1.801111113LAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic2.0011138113M. Svedik1.739111141WAug 14 · 12:00M. Svedik1.5311911113A. Svoboda2.38711481WAug 14 · 11:30T. Kolenic2.209560M. Svedik1.611111113WAug 14 · 10:00M. Svedik1.36812116113M. Trinta3.00111071192WAug 12 · 13:00K. Darin1.83311841M. Svedik1.8311311113LAug 12 · 12:30Y. Holovatiuk1.9111811113M. Svedik1.80911561LAug 12 · 11:30M. Svedik1.616650K. Darin2.201111113
T. Kolenic10
LAug 31 · 17:01J. Dedek1.851111113T. Kolenic1.858480WAug 31 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.83117511113J. Dedek1.8371111792LAug 31 · 15:00T. Kolenic2.20118991J. Trefny1.6151111113LAug 31 · 14:00R. Pavelka1.28351111113T. Kolenic3.5011114672LAug 31 · 08:58M. Kolar1.221111113T. Kolenic4.009570LAug 31 · 08:30M. Kolar1.251113113T. Kolenic3.7541140WAug 31 · 07:30T. Kolenic2.75813813113M. Vedmoch1.401111111162WAug 21 · 13:00T. Kolenic1.831111113M. Svedik1.834590WAug 21 · 10:00T. Kolenic2.0011138113M. Svedik1.739111141LAug 14 · 11:30T. Kolenic2.209560M. Svedik1.611111113
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