TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108752
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1147111197111311
Adam Svoboda
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 95 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 59.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 1–0 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1491 vs Svoboda 1566
Svoboda
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 40% vs Svoboda 60%
Svoboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +2 · Svoboda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.44 / Svoboda 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Dedek)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108752
Dedek1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 150 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it98% 87 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it79% 112 of 141
Svoboda2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 36 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDedek1wins
AwaySvoboda0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDedek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDedekSvobodaD − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match49.046.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 933 vs 158 / 30251.8%52.3%483 / 933 vs 158 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.44/Svoboda 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek—117117133A. Svoboda—411911112
J. Dedek10
WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950WSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113WSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890LSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113LSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111WSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113
A. Svoboda10
LSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950WSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113WSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.6171090O. Fejtek2.201112113WSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690LSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170LSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123LSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112
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