TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114016
Played Sep 11Finished
Adam Svoboda
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012911––––
Ondrej Fejtek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingAdam Svoboda above · Ondrej Fejtek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11
60 points played in total.
H2H Adam Svoboda 2–1 Ondrej Fejtek Ondrej Fejtek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Svoboda beat Fejtek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fejtek form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.61 / Fejtek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114016
Svoboda1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 65 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Fejtek2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvoboda2wins
AwayFejtek1wins
Svoboda leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda2Fejtek1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S2Svoboda1Fejtek2n = 3Fejtek took 2 of 3
S3Svoboda2Fejtek1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvobodaFejtekS − FBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match32.727.0+5.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaFejtekBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 298 vs 31 / 5752.4%54.4%156 / 298 vs 31 / 57Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.61/Fejtek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fejtek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda—1111113O. Fejtek—4690
WSep 8 · 21:28A. Svoboda—11611113O. Fejtek—411771
LSep 8 · 18:30A. Svoboda—9980O. Fejtek—1111113
A. Svoboda10
WSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690LSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 10 · 12:58A. Svoboda1.281113113R. Hasmanda3.5061170LSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123LSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112WSep 10 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.301111113R. Hasmanda3.408680WSep 10 · 09:30V. Dolezal1.91981661A. Svoboda1.80111114113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Stefek2.383930A. Svoboda1.531111113WSep 10 · 07:00L. Sulava3.70612111162A. Svoboda1.19111477113
O. Fejtek10
LSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690LSep 11 · 07:00J. Steffan2.20131112113O. Fejtek1.611191491LSep 11 · 06:30O. Fejtek1.5368111162T. Andrle2.38111177113LSep 8 · 21:28O. Fejtek1.61411771A. Svoboda2.2011611113LSep 8 · 20:00M. Fisera2.00111175113O. Fejtek1.7377111192WSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:30O. Fejtek1.831111113A. Svoboda1.839980WAug 31 · 21:00T. Regner1.57111112862O. Fejtek2.259131011113WAug 31 · 20:00J. Steffan1.91118991O. Fejtek1.8061111113LAug 31 · 19:00T. Regner2.201111113O. Fejtek1.617270
Upcoming Matches
A. Svoboda1 of 4 neutral
O. Fejtek
Nothing scheduled
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