TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12425132
Played Aug 14Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311611––––
Kamil Novak
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Novak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Kamil Novak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 49 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Kamil Novak at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:41What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Novak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1464 vs Novak 1354
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 60% vs Novak 0%
Stefek
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 60% vs Novak 20%
Stefek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -2 · Novak -5
Novak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.00 / Novak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Novak)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12425132
Stefek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog43% won 177 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back23% 52 of 230
Down 0–2, comes back7% 10 of 137
Novak1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 15 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 1148 vs 156 / 33148.4%47.1%556 / 1148 vs 156 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakStefek 2.00/Novak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Novak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Novak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Stefek10
LSep 11 · 09:30M. Stefek1.65124130Z. Zikmunda2.101411153WSep 11 · 08:00M. Stefek1.8311411113J. Pleskot1.83411881WSep 11 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.2511712652M. Stefek1.577111011113LSep 11 · 06:00M. Stefek1.80811115112L. Sulava1.91118911133LSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750WSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123WSep 10 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.911081181M. Stefek1.8012116113LSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek2.255930V. Dolezal1.571111113WSep 10 · 09:00L. Sulava1.8011861142M. Stefek1.91511115113LSep 10 · 08:00M. Stefek2.383930A. Svoboda1.531111113
K. Novak10
WSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113WSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692WAug 21 · 20:58K. Novak1.0811511123J. Steffan7.007118101WAug 21 · 20:00J. Steffan6.504970K. Novak1.101111113LAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38511114143K. Novak1.53119611122LAug 21 · 18:30K. Novak1.619980F. Jungman2.201111113WAug 14 · 21:30K. Novak1.6191111113Y. Holovatiuk2.20115851LAug 14 · 20:30J. Didi2.101111410113K. Novak1.6764111282WAug 14 · 19:30K. Novak2.101111113Y. Holovatiuk1.678980LAug 4 · 20:58T. Dousa1.53111211123K. Novak2.3891013101
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