TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12362575
Played Aug 4Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119121011131210––
Kamil Novak
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Kamil Novak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 88 set 4, 12-10
88 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 18–8 Kamil Novak Kamil Novak has won 8 of their 26 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Dousa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.53 / Novak 2.38
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Dousa)+8.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12362575
Dousa1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 84 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it78% 56 of 72
Novak2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 7 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa7wins
AwayNovak3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa80%4 of 5
AwayNovak40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa5Novak5n = 10split evenly
S2Dousa6Novak4n = 10Dousa took 6 of 10
S3Dousa7Novak3n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S4Dousa3Novak5n = 8Novak took 5 of 8
S5Dousa3Novak0n = 3Dousa took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaNovakD − NBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.736.9+3.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 707 vs 160 / 34849.9%46%353 / 707 vs 160 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaDousa 1.53/Novak 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 19:00T. Dousa—1111123K. Novak—69100
WApr 10 · 18:00T. Dousa—711119113K. Novak—11671132
WJan 9 · 23:00T. Dousa—116136113K. Novak—811111142
WDec 21 · 01:30T. Dousa—11811113K. Novak—711751
WDec 19 · 18:30T. Dousa—8121111113K. Novak—11145672
LDec 19 · 15:30T. Dousa—611981K. Novak—11911103
WOct 8 · 19:30T. Dousa—111116113K. Novak—1321471
LAug 12 · 21:00T. Dousa—118881K. Novak—81111113
LAug 12 · 20:30T. Dousa—511581K. Novak—11811113
WAug 3 · 20:00T. Dousa—1114113K. Novak—91280
T. Dousa10
WSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981LSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa3.508990M. Sedlak1.281111113LSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.4012411143T. Dousa2.7510116121WSep 10 · 15:30T. Dousa2.0081112113M. Vedmoch1.731171061LSep 10 · 14:30M. Kolar2.501181011113T. Dousa1.5081112372WSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100WSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek1.73561371T. Dousa2.00111111113WSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8312212113J. Plachy1.8310111051WSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113
K. Novak10
WSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113WSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692WAug 21 · 20:58K. Novak1.0811511123J. Steffan7.007118101WAug 21 · 20:00J. Steffan6.504970K. Novak1.101111113LAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38511114143K. Novak1.53119611122LAug 21 · 18:30K. Novak1.619980F. Jungman2.201111113WAug 14 · 21:30K. Novak1.6191111113Y. Holovatiuk2.20115851LAug 14 · 20:30J. Didi2.101111410113K. Novak1.6764111282WAug 14 · 19:30K. Novak2.101111113Y. Holovatiuk1.678980WAug 14 · 18:30M. Stefek2.007360K. Novak1.731111113
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