TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12425145
Played Aug 14Finished
Kamil Novak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119118––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Novak above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Novak 17–13 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Holovatiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-13 in 30
Novak
Correct
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novak 1382 vs Holovatiuk 1468
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novak 20% vs Holovatiuk 80%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novak 30% vs Holovatiuk 50%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novak +1 · Holovatiuk +3
Holovatiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovak 2.10 / Holovatiuk 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12425145
Novak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog22% won 6 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Holovatiuk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 53 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it75% 35 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNovak5wins
AwayHolovatiuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovak50%2 of 4
AwayHolovatiuk50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novak4Holovatiuk6n = 10Holovatiuk took 6 of 10
S2Novak7Holovatiuk3n = 10Novak took 7 of 10
S3Novak5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Novak3Holovatiuk3n = 6split evenly
S5Novak1Holovatiuk2n = 3Holovatiuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNovakHolovatiukN − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.935.8+0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovakHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 334 vs 280 / 58647.3%47.8%158 / 334 vs 280 / 586Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukNovak 2.10/Holovatiuk 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Novak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 19:30K. Novak—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—8980
LAug 4 · 20:30K. Novak—611981Y. Holovatiuk—11911113
LApr 10 · 19:30K. Novak—61060Y. Holovatiuk—1112113
WMar 18 · 21:00K. Novak—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—3770
LMar 8 · 18:29K. Novak—8760Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
LMar 8 · 15:00K. Novak—11113972Y. Holovatiuk—891111113
WFeb 18 · 22:00K. Novak—101211113Y. Holovatiuk—1210591
WFeb 18 · 21:00K. Novak—91111203Y. Holovatiuk—1172181
WJan 15 · 21:00K. Novak—711311113Y. Holovatiuk—11411742
LDec 25 · 18:00K. Novak—11311482Y. Holovatiuk—511811113
K. Novak10
WSep 11 · 19:00K. Darin1.808870K. Novak1.911111113WSep 11 · 18:30K. Novak1.36127811113T. Kolenic3.00101111692WAug 21 · 20:58K. Novak1.0811511123J. Steffan7.007118101WAug 21 · 20:00J. Steffan6.504970K. Novak1.101111113LAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38511114143K. Novak1.53119611122LAug 21 · 18:30K. Novak1.619980F. Jungman2.201111113WAug 14 · 21:30K. Novak1.6191111113Y. Holovatiuk2.20115851LAug 14 · 20:30J. Didi2.101111410113K. Novak1.6764111282WAug 14 · 18:30M. Stefek2.007360K. Novak1.731111113LAug 4 · 20:58T. Dousa1.53111211123K. Novak2.3891013101
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 10 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk1.831111113J. Jnr1.839890WSep 10 · 20:00J. Jnr1.6188120Y. Holovatiuk2.201111143WSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113LSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113LSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113LSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113WAug 21 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.38511114143K. Novak1.53119611122LAug 14 · 21:30K. Novak1.6191111113Y. Holovatiuk2.20115851
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