TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13111532
Played Sep 10Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118119––––
Jan Varcl Jnr
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Jan Varcl Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9
59 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 3–10 Jan Varcl Jnr Yurii Holovatiuk has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Holovatiuk beat Jnr 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Holovatiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.83 / Jnr 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13111532
Holovatiuk1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Jnr1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk3wins
AwayJnr7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk42.9%3 of 7
AwayJnr100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk7Jnr3n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S2Holovatiuk5Jnr5n = 10split evenly
S3Holovatiuk3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S4Holovatiuk2Jnr5n = 7Jnr took 5 of 7
S5Holovatiuk1Jnr3n = 4Jnr took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukJnrH − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.937.6−0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 680 vs 120 / 23749.9%50.6%339 / 680 vs 120 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.83/Jnr 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk—1111143J. Jnr—88120
LSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk—4980J. Jnr—1111113
WSep 8 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk—1111113J. Jnr—4160
LSep 1 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk—811116142J. Jnr—116411163
LAug 13 · 02:00Y. Holovatiuk—114971J. Jnr—91111113
LAug 11 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk—911971J. Jnr—11511113
LJan 19 · 22:01Y. Holovatiuk—127511102J. Jnr—1011119123
LJan 19 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk—114951J. Jnr—81111113
WAug 28 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—111177113J. Jnr—68111132
LAug 27 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk—11591152J. Jnr—511115113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 10 · 20:00J. Jnr1.6188120Y. Holovatiuk2.201111143WSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113LSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113LSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113LSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113LSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113LSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113LSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250
J. Jnr10
LSep 10 · 20:00J. Jnr1.6188120Y. Holovatiuk2.201111143LSep 10 · 19:30L. Krok1.611261011113J. Jnr2.20101112892LSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113WSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113WSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113LSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr1.911111581K. Darin1.8071311113LSep 3 · 01:00J. Jnr2.2081181242D. Parhomenko1.611151110113LSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932
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