TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108500
Played Sep 10Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811611115411
Martin Stefek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 83 set 5, 4-11
83 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 16–11 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Stefek beat Sulava 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 1.80 / Stefek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stefek)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108500
Sulava1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 122 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it94% 67 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it83% 90 of 108
Stefek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 191 of 438
Down 0–1, comes back23% 56 of 243
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulava3wins
AwayStefek7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStefek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulava50%2 of 4
AwayStefek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S2Sulava4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S3Sulava4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Sulava3Stefek6n = 9Stefek took 6 of 9
S5Sulava2Stefek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulavaStefekSulava − StefekBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.140.1−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 968 vs 576 / 120649.5%47.8%479 / 968 vs 576 / 1206Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekSulava 1.80/Stefek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 06:00L. Sulava—11691492M. Stefek—9111112113
WSep 6 · 11:30L. Sulava—121168113M. Stefek—104111172
LAug 28 · 24:00L. Sulava—119110M. Stefek—1311133
LAug 3 · 02:00L. Sulava—78111192M. Stefek—111185113
WJun 7 · 10:00L. Sulava—11111111113M. Stefek—13661332
LMay 5 · 02:30L. Sulava—112481M. Stefek—21111113
LMar 26 · 03:30L. Sulava—981171M. Stefek—11115113
LMar 12 · 01:00L. Sulava—411861M. Stefek—11911113
LFeb 28 · 10:30L. Sulava—711991M. Stefek—11511113
WFeb 28 · 07:30L. Sulava—11411113M. Stefek—511651
L. Sulava10
WSep 10 · 08:30L. Sulava2.631111113V. Dolezal1.441940LSep 10 · 07:00L. Sulava3.70612111162A. Svoboda1.19111477113LSep 10 · 06:00M. Stefek1.809111112113L. Sulava1.9111691492LSep 9 · 01:30L. Sulava3.403780A. Svoboda1.301111113LSep 9 · 24:30V. Kosar2.00941111113L. Sulava1.7311113242LSep 8 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.3621211113L. Sulava3.001110781LSep 8 · 22:30L. Sulava2.0010640M. Novak1.731211113WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471
M. Stefek10
LSep 10 · 13:30V. Dolezal1.481111113M. Stefek2.456750WSep 10 · 12:00A. Svoboda1.5310101111102M. Stefek2.38121267123WSep 10 · 11:00R. Hasmanda1.911081181M. Stefek1.8012116113LSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek2.255930V. Dolezal1.571111113LSep 10 · 08:00M. Stefek2.383930A. Svoboda1.531111113LSep 10 · 07:30V. Dolezal1.6111118113M. Stefek2.20791171WSep 10 · 06:00M. Stefek1.809111112113L. Sulava1.9111691492WSep 9 · 17:28J. Didi1.6161141192M. Stefek2.20118117113WSep 9 · 16:30T. Regner1.671491281M. Stefek2.10121114113LSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113
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