TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104099
Played Sep 10Finished
Rotislav Hasmanda
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811116811––
Martin Stefek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Stefek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRotislav Hasmanda above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Martin Stefek at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Rotislav Hasmanda 20–23 Martin Stefek Rotislav Hasmanda has won 20 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stefek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-23 in 43
Stefek
Correct
gap of 3 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasmanda 1399 vs Stefek 1411
Stefek
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasmanda 40% vs Stefek 80%
Stefek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasmanda 50% vs Stefek 70%
Stefek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasmanda +1 · Stefek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hasmanda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasmanda 1.91 / Stefek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hasmanda)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104099
Hasmanda1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 69 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 56
Stefek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 121 of 217
Up 2–0, closes it92% 67 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it75% 88 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHasmanda6wins
AwayStefek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHasmanda leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmanda100%5 of 5
AwayStefek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasmanda5Stefek5n = 10split evenly
S2Hasmanda7Stefek3n = 10Hasmanda took 7 of 10
S3Hasmanda6Stefek4n = 10Hasmanda took 6 of 10
S4Hasmanda4Stefek2n = 6Hasmanda took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHasmandaStefekH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.231.5+4.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmandaStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 793 vs 577 / 120749.4%47.8%392 / 793 vs 577 / 1207Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmandaHasmanda 1.91/Stefek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hasmanda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 12:59R. Hasmanda—61110101M. Stefek—11312123
LJul 22 · 12:30R. Hasmanda—88111192M. Stefek—111188113
LJul 7 · 07:00R. Hasmanda—6250M. Stefek—1111113
WJul 1 · 14:00R. Hasmanda—1111113M. Stefek—8850
WJun 29 · 22:00R. Hasmanda—111112113M. Stefek—691481
WJun 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda—11119113M. Stefek—841171
WJun 8 · 11:30R. Hasmanda—1111113M. Stefek—6350
LMay 25 · 23:30R. Hasmanda—861291M. Stefek—111110113
WMay 25 · 11:30R. Hasmanda—111111113M. Stefek—132791
WMay 21 · 24:30R. Hasmanda—1111113M. Stefek—8290
R. Hasmanda10
LSep 10 · 10:00A. Svoboda1.301111113R. Hasmanda3.408680WSep 9 · 03:00M. Novak1.679127111R. Hasmanda2.10111011133LSep 9 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.441111123R. Hasmanda2.6396100LSep 9 · 01:00M. Novak2.101111133R. Hasmanda1.6785110WSep 8 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.3621211113L. Sulava3.001110781LSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113LSep 7 · 03:28A. Svoboda1.531112113R. Hasmanda2.3821090LSep 7 · 02:30A. Svoboda1.731312113R. Hasmanda2.00111030WSep 7 · 01:00P. Bruzek2.108311111R. Hasmanda1.6711119133WSep 6 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.8311811113M. Novak1.83411661
M. Stefek10
LSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek2.255930V. Dolezal1.571111113WSep 10 · 09:00L. Sulava1.8011861142M. Stefek1.91511115113LSep 10 · 08:00M. Stefek2.383930A. Svoboda1.531111113LSep 10 · 07:30V. Dolezal1.6111118113M. Stefek2.20791171WSep 10 · 06:00M. Stefek1.809111112113L. Sulava1.9111691492WSep 9 · 17:28J. Didi1.6161141192M. Stefek2.20118117113WSep 9 · 16:30T. Regner1.671491281M. Stefek2.10121114113LSep 9 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83511561J. Didi1.8311611113WSep 9 · 14:30J. Steffan1.37791191M. Stefek2.6011119113WSep 9 · 09:04M. Stefek1.73613311123J. Didi2.001111116102
Upcoming Matches
R. Hasmanda
M. Stefek2 of 2 neutral
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