TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13104112
Played Sep 10Finished
Lubor Sulava
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
111119114––––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:00 and never touched — 70.9% is still 70.9%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
70.9%
70.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLubor Sulava above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 47 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 70.9%
47 points played in total.
H2H Lubor Sulava 11–46 Vaclav Dolezal Lubor Sulava has won 11 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:00What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-46 in 57
Dolezal
Wrong
gap of 35 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulava 1393 vs Dolezal 1410
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulava 0% vs Dolezal 60%
Dolezal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulava 30% vs Dolezal 60%
Dolezal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulava -5 · Dolezal -1
Sulava
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulava form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulava 2.63 / Dolezal 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Dolezal)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13104112
Sulava2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 62 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back16% 18 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Dolezal1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 140 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it80% 102 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulava2wins
AwayDolezal8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulava66.7%2 of 3
AwayDolezal100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulava3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Sulava6Dolezal4n = 10Sulava took 6 of 10
S3Sulava5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulava3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S5Sulava0Dolezal3n = 3Dolezal took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulavaDolezalS − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.142.7−4.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulavaDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 969 vs 376 / 76549.4%49.2%479 / 969 vs 376 / 765Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalSulava 2.63/Dolezal 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sulava won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 22:30L. Sulava—611891V. Dolezal—11611113
LAug 13 · 07:00L. Sulava—811111772V. Dolezal—119619113
LAug 8 · 01:30L. Sulava—71291182V. Dolezal—1110116113
WAug 5 · 13:29L. Sulava—11116123V. Dolezal—3711101
LAug 5 · 11:30L. Sulava—981141V. Dolezal—11119113
LJun 30 · 09:00L. Sulava—10101191V. Dolezal—12128113
WJun 30 · 06:00L. Sulava—11411113V. Dolezal—811761
LJun 18 · 08:30L. Sulava—713241V. Dolezal—111111113
LJun 4 · 24:30L. Sulava—61111672V. Dolezal—118811113
LMay 30 · 09:30L. Sulava—117481V. Dolezal—91111113
L. Sulava10
LSep 10 · 09:00L. Sulava1.8011861142M. Stefek1.91511115113LSep 10 · 07:00L. Sulava3.70612111162A. Svoboda1.19111477113LSep 10 · 06:00M. Stefek1.809111112113L. Sulava1.9111691492LSep 9 · 01:30L. Sulava3.403780A. Svoboda1.301111113LSep 9 · 24:30V. Kosar2.00941111113L. Sulava1.7311113242LSep 8 · 23:30R. Hasmanda1.3621211113L. Sulava3.001110781LSep 8 · 22:30L. Sulava2.0010640M. Novak1.731211113WSep 7 · 02:58L. Sulava2.1011811113M. Novak1.67511961WSep 7 · 02:00P. Bruzek1.9198111252L. Sulava1.801111610113WSep 7 · 24:30L. Sulava2.2014616113M. Novak1.6112111471
V. Dolezal10
WSep 10 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.50811115133A. Svoboda1.50119511112WSep 10 · 10:30M. Stefek2.255930V. Dolezal1.571111113LSep 10 · 09:30V. Dolezal1.91981661A. Svoboda1.80111114113WSep 10 · 07:30V. Dolezal1.6111118113M. Stefek2.20791171WSep 10 · 06:30A. Svoboda1.5010550V. Dolezal2.501211113LSep 9 · 09:28J. Pleskot2.75111265113V. Dolezal1.40910111192WSep 9 · 08:30V. Dolezal1.331117155113J. Pleskot3.25519131192WSep 9 · 07:00V. Dolezal1.61411811123M. Stefek2.20116117102LSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690WSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113
Upcoming Matches
L. Sulava
V. Dolezal
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