TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13117061
Played Sep 11Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811119311116511
Tomas Janata
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 86 set 5, 5-11
86 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 56–32 Tomas Janata Tomas Janata has won 32 of their 88 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Prokupek beat Janata 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 2.00 / Janata 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Janata)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13117061
Prokupek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 107 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 77
Janata1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 110 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek2wins
AwayJanata8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJanata87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek2Janata8n = 10Janata took 8 of 10
S2Prokupek4Janata6n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Prokupek3Janata7n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S4Prokupek1Janata2n = 3Janata took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekJanataP − JBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match26.534.8−8.3per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime652 / 1369 vs 430 / 82247.6%52.3%652 / 1369 vs 430 / 822Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataProkupek 2.00/Janata 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 18:00J. Prokupek—1111113T. Janata—5740
LApr 12 · 02:30J. Prokupek—5550T. Janata—1111113
LApr 10 · 21:29J. Prokupek—104100T. Janata—1211123
LApr 10 · 20:00J. Prokupek—7460T. Janata—1111113
WApr 6 · 18:00J. Prokupek—111111113T. Janata—139881
LFeb 1 · 20:30J. Prokupek—111281172T. Janata—6101113113
LFeb 1 · 02:30J. Prokupek—2430T. Janata—1111113
LJan 30 · 20:00J. Prokupek—5650T. Janata—1111113
LJan 25 · 02:00J. Prokupek—7570T. Janata—1111113
LDec 23 · 15:00J. Prokupek—61111922T. Janata—116411113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113WSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652LSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113WSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113LSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113WSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123
T. Janata10
WSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122WSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113LSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Janata1.536111161L. Krticka2.3811713113LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113LSep 7 · 19:30J. Hradecky1.3331111113T. Janata3.25117851WSep 7 · 18:00T. Janata1.44111194113L. Krticka2.6398111182LSep 6 · 20:59T. Janata2.0011750R. Krejci1.731311113LSep 6 · 20:30R. Krejci1.807111011113T. Janata1.9111812682WSep 6 · 19:30T. Janata2.2511911113M. Vizek1.57911721
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