TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119395
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Vinter
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131214119115––
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:44 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Vinter to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vinter above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 76 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Tomas Vinter at 56.8%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vinter 9–10 Jaroslav Prokupek Tomas Vinter has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:44What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vinter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinter 1532 vs Prokupek 1534
Prokupek
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinter 100% vs Prokupek 40%
Vinter
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinter 60% vs Prokupek 40%
Vinter
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinter +5 · Prokupek -2
Vinter
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vinter) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinter form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinter 1.53 / Prokupek 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vinter)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119395
Vinter1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 70 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 58 of 72
Prokupek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 91 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVinter6wins
AwayProkupek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVinter leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVinter100%5 of 5
AwayProkupek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinter5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S2Vinter5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vinter6Prokupek4n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S4Vinter5Prokupek3n = 8Vinter took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVinterProkupekV − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.2+2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinterProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 523 vs 652 / 137050.5%47.6%264 / 523 vs 652 / 1370Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterVinter 1.53/Prokupek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 2 · 18:00T. Vinter30941161J. Prokupek4111118113
WMay 30 · 15:30T. Vinter45111112113J. Prokupek35871461
LMay 23 · 14:00T. Vinter35651681J. Prokupek47111114113
WMay 21 · 13:30T. Vinter53125914133J. Prokupek5510111112112
WMay 21 · 12:30T. Vinter341211113J. Prokupek2110740
LMay 15 · 08:00T. Vinter4481111952J. Prokupek42117211113
WMay 14 · 14:00T. Vinter47121113113J. Prokupek341441151
WSep 4 · 06:00T. Vinter3711411113J. Prokupek28911621
WAug 26 · 09:30T. Vinter43111110113J. Prokupek34771281
LAug 26 · 07:00T. Vinter2881190J. Prokupek351113113
T. Vinter10
WSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113WSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101WSep 10 · 08:30T. Vinter2.0011811113M. Vesely1.73511641LSep 10 · 07:00T. Vinter2.0344111172J. Svoboda1.62111148113LSep 10 · 06:00J. Stolfa1.53117117113T. Vinter2.3861191182LSep 3 · 21:00M. Sedlak1.611211113T. Vinter2.2010990LSep 3 · 20:30T. Vinter1.738280V. Postelt2.001111113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113LSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113WSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652LSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113WSep 10 · 18:00J. Jnr2.20681141J. Prokupek1.6111117113LSep 8 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801111123J. Prokupek1.9184100LSep 8 · 20:00J. Prokupek1.914890T. Dousa1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Vinter
J. Prokupek2 of 8 neutral
Sep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.50K. Darin2.50—Sep 13 · 22:00J. Prokupek1.90J. Dedek1.80—Sep 13 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.90V. Postelt1.80—Sep 14 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.53P. Fojt2.38—Sep 14 · 02:00J. Prokupek1.83J. Plachy1.83—Sep 14 · 18:00J. Prokupek—Y. Holovatiuk——Sep 14 · 19:00J. Prokupek—L. Krok——Sep 14 · 20:30J. Prokupek—J. Dedek——
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