TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119835
Played Sep 13Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161012911119119
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 55.3%
99 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 36–33 Jaroslav Prokupek Jaroslav Prokupek has won 33 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-33 in 69
Dedek
Correct
gap of 3 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1501 vs Prokupek 1500
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 60% vs Prokupek 20%
Dedek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 70% vs Prokupek 40%
Dedek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +1 · Prokupek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.80 / Prokupek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dedek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119835
Dedek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 145 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it81% 108 of 134
Prokupek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 91 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek6wins
AwayProkupek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek80%4 of 5
AwayProkupek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S2Dedek6Prokupek4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Dedek5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek5Prokupek3n = 8Dedek took 5 of 8
S5Dedek2Prokupek1n = 3Dedek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekProkupekD − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.334.1+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 939 vs 653 / 137451.9%47.5%487 / 939 vs 653 / 1374Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.80/Prokupek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 20:30J. Dedek3611311113J. Prokupek31611681
LSep 4 · 03:00J. Dedek34711971J. Prokupek3711411113
WSep 3 · 23:00J. Dedek48871111113J. Prokupek3611114462
LAug 27 · 11:30J. Dedek29512751J. Prokupek43111011113
LAug 24 · 18:00J. Dedek315511101J. Prokupek3811114123
WAug 24 · 02:00J. Dedek331111113J. Prokupek138320
LAug 21 · 18:30J. Dedek4311581182J. Prokupek45411118113
WAug 21 · 02:00J. Dedek45111211113J. Prokupek356101361
WAug 16 · 22:00J. Dedek351113113J. Prokupek2051140
WJul 13 · 03:00J. Dedek49711911113J. Prokupek4311811582
J. Dedek10
WSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550LSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113WSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142LSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek1.4091161132Y. Holovatiuk2.75115113113WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113WSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890
J. Prokupek10
LSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102LSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113WSep 13 · 11:00J. Prokupek1.67511311113F. Jungman2.1011911982LSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951LSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113LSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113WSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652
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