TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108740
Played Sep 12Finished
Jiri Plachy
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111412611115911
Jiri Dedek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Plachy above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 95 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 54.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Plachy 49–17 Jiri Dedek Jiri Dedek has won 17 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Plachy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-17 in 66
Plachy
Wrong
gap of 32 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plachy 1403 vs Dedek 1521
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plachy 20% vs Dedek 80%
Dedek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plachy 10% vs Dedek 50%
Dedek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Plachy -3 · Dedek +1
Plachy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlachy 1.80 / Dedek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Plachy)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108740
Plachy1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 145 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it97% 71 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it86% 104 of 121
Dedek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 83 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back23% 31 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlachy6wins
AwayDedek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlachy leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlachy80%4 of 5
AwayDedek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plachy5Dedek5n = 10split evenly
S2Plachy6Dedek4n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S3Plachy4Dedek6n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S4Plachy4Dedek2n = 6Plachy took 4 of 6
S5Plachy2Dedek1n = 3Plachy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlachyDedekP − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.034.9+4.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlachyDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime740 / 1602 vs 485 / 93646.2%51.8%740 / 1602 vs 485 / 936Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyPlachy 1.80/Dedek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 24:00J. Plachy—811100J. Dedek—1113123
WSep 2 · 11:30J. Plachy—11119113J. Dedek—651181
WAug 27 · 10:30J. Plachy—115811113J. Dedek—81111242
LAug 25 · 20:30J. Plachy—6111191J. Dedek—11613113
WAug 24 · 03:41J. Plachy—511711113J. Dedek—11711792
WAug 24 · 24:00J. Plachy—1111113J. Dedek—5740
LAug 21 · 24:30J. Plachy—9990J. Dedek—1111113
WAug 18 · 12:58J. Plachy—121112113J. Dedek—1491041
LAug 18 · 11:00J. Plachy—11914892J. Dedek—9111211113
WAug 17 · 02:30J. Plachy—1112113J. Dedek—31080
J. Plachy10
LSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090LSep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.831112113J. Plachy1.8371090LSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa2.1091112113J. Plachy1.671191081WSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113LSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981LSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111LSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123LSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8312212113J. Plachy1.8310111051
J. Dedek10
WSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142LSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek1.4091161132Y. Holovatiuk2.75115113113WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113WSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890LSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111WSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122
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