TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108743
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911115611113311
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 81 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 62.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 23–14 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-14 in 37
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1519 vs Holovatiuk 1513
Dedek
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 80% vs Holovatiuk 60%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 60% vs Holovatiuk 40%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +4 · Holovatiuk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.40 / Holovatiuk 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Dedek)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108743
Dedek1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 150 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it98% 87 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it79% 112 of 141
Holovatiuk2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 61 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek7wins
AwayHolovatiuk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek100%6 of 6
AwayHolovatiuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek6Holovatiuk4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S2Dedek9Holovatiuk1n = 10Dedek took 9 of 10
S3Dedek5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek2Holovatiuk2n = 4split evenly
S5Dedek2Holovatiuk1n = 3Dedek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekHolovatiukD − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.131.1+5.0per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime484 / 934 vs 340 / 68151.8%49.9%484 / 934 vs 340 / 681Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.40/Holovatiuk 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 22:30J. Dedek—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—6340
WMay 30 · 22:30J. Dedek—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—9150
WMay 27 · 20:58J. Dedek—1116113Y. Holovatiuk—11450
LMay 27 · 20:30J. Dedek—7860Y. Holovatiuk—1111113
WMay 13 · 18:30J. Dedek—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—9670
LMay 11 · 19:30J. Dedek—911571Y. Holovatiuk—11611113
LMar 26 · 19:00J. Dedek—151381132Y. Holovatiuk—1711114113
WMar 22 · 20:00J. Dedek—111177113Y. Holovatiuk—69111192
WMar 18 · 21:59J. Dedek—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—8790
WMar 18 · 20:00J. Dedek—711111113Y. Holovatiuk—11911772
J. Dedek10
WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113WSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890LSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113LSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:00J. Dedek1.904730M. Kolar1.801111113WSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111WSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 10 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk1.831111113J. Jnr1.839890WSep 10 · 20:00J. Jnr1.6188120Y. Holovatiuk2.201111143WSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113LSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113LSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113LSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113LSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113LSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113
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